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Kevin McCarthy News

    Prediction markets for Kevin McCarthy

    Who will the Trump administration go after?

    Nov 13, 7:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    5722921

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    Dr. Fauci

    LGBTQ+ / Transgender service members

    January 6th Committee

    Jack Smith

    Blinken

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    Fluoride

    The Bidens

    Miles Taylor

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jerome Powell

    Bruce Springsteen

    Merrick Garland

    Elon Musk

    Michael Cohen

    Christopher Steele

    Texas Democrats (as a group)

    VAWA self-petitioners

    Liz Cheney

    Furries

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Vindman

    FDIC

    Rev. Budde/ Episcopal Church

    Susie Wiles

    Beyonce

    Mike Pence

    Brad Raffensperger

    Black Nationals

    E. Jean Carroll

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Karoline Leavitt

    Jeff Bezos

    Taylor Swift

    Alec Baldwin

    Kevin McCarthy

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    93

    90

    83

    80

    80

    78

    67

    66

    58

    56

    53

    50

    50

    50

    49

    49

    45

    43

    41

    41

    39

    35

    33

    31

    25

    23

    14

    13

    8

    5

    3

    3

    Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

    Oct 25, 10:46 PMJan 8, 4:59 AM
    5920886

    OptionProbability

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Other

    Tom Emmer

    Steve Scalise

    Jim Jordan

    Patrick McHenry

    Kevin McCarthy

    Elise Stefanik

    Kevin Hern

    Tom Cole

    Elon Musk

    76

    19

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

    Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM
    74.13%chance
    3114284

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1693

    591

    Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?

    Feb 21, 10:29 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM
    453153

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Steve Scalise (current Republican Majority Leader, previous Speaker-Elect)

    Jim Jordan (Previous Republican Speaker-Elect)

    Mike Johnson Again (after being removed from power, then put back in power)

    Elise Stefanik (Republican Conference Chairman)

    Tom Emmer (Republican Whip, previous Speaker-Elect)

    Byron Donalds (Previous Speaker contender)

    Gary Palmer (Republican Policy Committee Chairman, Previous Speaker contender)

    Kevin Hern (Previous Speaker contender)

    Jack Bergman (Previous Speaker contender)

    Austin Scott (Previous Speaker contender)

    Chuck Fleischmann (Previous Speaker contender)

    Mark Green (Previous Speaker contender)

    Roger Williams (Previous Speaker contender)

    Jodey Arrington (Previous Speaker contender)

    Tom Cole (Chair of the House Rules Committee)

    Donald Trump (Republican Candidate for President)

    Patrick McHenry (Previous Republican Speaker pro tempore)

    Kevin McCarthy (Previous Republican Speaker)

    51

    16

    10

    6

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

    Oct 2, 2:51 AMJan 9, 3:59 PM
    1.79%chance
    101143

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2077

    924

    Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?

    Oct 4, 6:10 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM
    2.93%chance
    91044

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1149

    83

    Who will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?

    Dec 13, 9:18 PMJan 3, 5:00 PM
    8630

    OptionProbability

    Mike Johnson

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Steve Scalise

    Jim Jordan

    Tom Emmer

    Patrick McHenry

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Elise Stefanik

    Donald Trump

    Jim Clyburn

    Elon Musk

    Kevin McCarthy

    Nancy Pelosi

    100

    72

    10

    10

    10

    10

    8

    6

    5

    5

    5

    1

    1

    Kevin McCarthy stock (permanent)

    Mar 27, 6:26 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    20468

    OptionProbability

    YES

    NO

    404

    376

    Will any Speaker of the House other than McCarthy be removed by the end of 2040?

    Oct 24, 8:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    76.3%chance
    8115

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    257

    126

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