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Top stories

GENIUS Act Positions Ethereum as Leading Beneficiary, Says Andrew Keys of Ether Machine, Boosting ETH and CNBC Coverage

GENIUS Act Positions Ethereum as Leading Beneficiary, Says Andrew Keys of Ether Machine, Boosting ETH and CNBC Coverage

Authors

8

12 days ago

Prediction markets for Keys

When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?

Mar 26, 8:37 AMJun 28, 9:59 PM

5817210

OptionProbability

Summer Solstice 2031

Summer Solstice 2030

Summer Solstice 2029

Summer Solstice 2028

Summer Solstice 2027

Spring Equinox 2027

Summer Solstice 2026

Summer Solstice 2024

Halloween 2024

Christmas 2024

Summer Solstice 2025

Christmas 2025

81

72

44

12

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM

85.8%chance

949754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2254

105

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

701

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

935

By 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)?

Apr 3, 10:02 PMApr 11, 3:59 AM

27.08%chance

372118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

911

Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?

Nov 3, 6:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.45%chance

281988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

883

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM

76.77%chance

381544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2360

1812

Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?

Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.98%chance

161505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

896

[Humanoid Bots] Will the USA (or China) be the key player?

Mar 6, 10:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.19%chance

15217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

974

Will an environmental factor be identified as key contributor to sporadic ALS by 1/1/2027?

Feb 17, 9:43 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

16.24%chance

3152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

144

Will "We might be missing some key feature of AI ta..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 6:43 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
US Legislation
Blockchains
Politics
GENIUS Act Positions Ethereum as Leading Beneficiary, Says Andrew Keys of Ether Machine, Boosting ETH and CNBC Coverage
Authors
8
12 days ago

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