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Kushner News

    Prediction markets for Kushner

    OptionProbability

    Kanye West

    Alex Jones

    Steve Bannon

    Calvin Robinson

    Eduardo Verástegui

    Andrew Tate

    Calin Georgescu

    Harry Redknapp

    David Walliams (Comedian)

    Tristan Tate

    Stephen Miller

    Tommy Robinson

    Pete Hegseth

    Enrique Tarrio

    Another religious figure in addition to Calvin Robinson

    @Anon99

    Donald Trump

    Julius Malema

    Matteo Salvini

    Elon Musk (again)

    Paul Golding

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    George Simion

    Markus Persson (Notch)

    Tucker Carlson

    Jacob Chansley

    Logan Paul

    Narendra Modi

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Michael Waltz

    Any Democratic Senator, Governor, or former Presidential or Vice Presidential nominee

    Jake Paul

    Mel Gibson

    Nigel Farage

    Lars von Trier

    Ching Hai

    Robert Fico

    Nicolás Maduro

    Nota Baloyi

    Kim Yo Jong

    Glenn Greenwald

    Conor McGregor

    Steve Witkoff

    Howard Lutnick

    Cory Booker

    JD Vance

    Joe Rogan

    Ben Shapiro

    Viktor Orban

    Martin Shkreli

    Dave Chappelle

    Erdoğan

    Vladimir Solovyov

    Candace Owens

    Jordan Bardella

    Pam Bondi

    Palmer Luckey

    Larry Ellison

    Caitlyn Jenner

    Alex Karp

    Joe Exotic

    Sarah Palin

    Lex Fridman

    Guillaume Verdon

    Piers Morgan

    Aravind Srinivas

    Peter Pellegrini

    Alice Weidel

    Marine Le Pen

    Mohammed bin Salman

    David Holz

    Giuseppe Conte

    Valery Gerasimov

    Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    Aleksandar Vučić

    Nayib Bukele

    Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia

    Joel Kaplan

    Javier Milei

    Peter Thiel

    Emily Chang

    Claire Boucher (Grimes)

    Liv Boeree

    Sam Bankman Fried

    Sergey Lavrov

    Marion Maréchal

    Andrew Callaghan

    Liang Wenfeng

    Owen Jones

    Mario Nawfal

    Kim Dotcom

    Felix Kjellberg

    Alexander Lukashenko

    Marco Rubio

    Ghislaine Maxwell

    Ivanka Trump

    Jiankui He

    George Hotz

    Melania Trump

    Jared Kushner

    Trey Parker

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Robert Downey Jr.

    John Cena

    Usha Vance

    Liz Truss

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Geert Wilders

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Matt Stone

    Ramzan Kadyrov

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Amichai Chikli

    Dwayne Johnson

    J.K.Rowling

    Vladimir Putin

    Jeff Bezos

    Xi Jinping

    Rudy Giuliani

    Tim Walz

    Itamar Ben-Gvir

    joe biden

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Michelle Obama

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    38

    22

    21

    17

    16

    16

    16

    15

    14

    14

    13

    13

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    Members of the Board of Peace?

    Jan 20, 4:29 AMDec 31, 11:01 PM
    3822451

    OptionProbability

    Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister)

    Viktor Orbán (Hungarian Prime Minister)

    Tô Lâm (Vietnamese Communist Party Secretary General)

    Javier Milei (Argentine President)

    Edi Rama (Albanian Prime Minister)

    Santiago Peña (Paraguayan President)

    Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Turkish President)

    Shehbaz Sharif (Pakistani Prime Minister)

    Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Prime Minister)

    Marco Rubio (US Secretary of State)

    Steve Witkoff (US Special Envoy)

    Jared Kushner (Trump's son-in-law)

    Marc Rowan (Finance billionaire)

    Ajay Banga (President of World Bank)

    Robert Gabriel (US Security Adviser)

    Nickolay Mladenov (Bulgarian diplomat)

    Alexander Lukashenko (Belarusian President)

    Vladimir Putin (Russian President)

    Narendra Modi (Indian Prime Minister)

    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Brazilian President)

    United Kingdom

    Anthony Albanese (Australian Prime Minister)

    Mark Carney (Canadian Prime Minister)

    Xi Jinping (Chinese Communist Party Secretary General)

    Giorgia Meloni (Italian Prime Minister)

    Ursula von der Leyen (EU Commission President)

    Emmanuel Macron (French President)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    69

    20

    15

    15

    15

    10

    8

    8

    7

    5

    5

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jamie Dimon

    J. D. Vance

    Kamala Harris

    Ted Cruz

    Gavin Newsom

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Cory Booker

    Ron DeSantis

    Nikki Haley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    Tim Scott

    J. B. Pritzker

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    Elise Stefanik

    Josh Shapiro

    Mike Pence

    Kristi Noem

    Andy Beshear

    Spencer Cox

    Glenn Youngkin

    Ro Khanna

    Marco Rubio

    Jackson Hinkle

    Dean Phillips

    Donald Trump

    Elon Musk

    Aella

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Xi Jinping

    Tammy Duckworth

    Ivanka Trump

    Mike Johnson

    Tucker Carlson

    Mark Zuckerberg

    An AGI

    Jared Kushner

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Curtis Yarvin

    Mike Dunleavy

    Katie Hobbs

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Jared Polis

    Brian Kemp

    Scott Perry

    Joe Biden

    Josh Green

    Eric Holcomb

    Kim Reynolds

    Jeff Landry

    Wes Moore

    Maura Healey

    Tim Walz

    Tate Reeves

    Mike Parson

    Greg Gianforte

    Christopher Sununu

    Jim Pillen

    Joe Lombardo

    Phil Murphy

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Kathy Hochul

    Roy Cooper

    Doug Burgum

    Kevin Stitt

    Tina Kotek

    Bill Lee

    Greg Abbott

    Phil Scott

    Mark Gordon

    Tammy Baldwin

    Taylor Swift

    Josh Hawley

    Raphael Warnock

    Luigi Mangione

    Chuck Norris

    Robert Francis Prevost

    57

    5

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    If Vance replaces Trump, who will be his VP?

    Mar 30, 3:15 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
    394408

    OptionProbability

    Trump finishes his term with JD Vance as VP

    Other

    Marco Rubio

    Jared Kushner

    Donald Trump Jr

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Ron DeSantis

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    JD Vance is removed as VP in the current administration

    Vance dies before Trump leaves office

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    84

    6

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?

    Jul 5, 9:47 AMJan 1, 10:40 AM
    392810

    OptionProbability

    María Corina Machado

    Alexei Kitaev

    Jamie Joyce

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    John Preskill

    Robin Hanson

    Jared Kushner

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Donald Trump

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Elon Musk

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    @Krantz

    99

    71

    34

    29

    26

    26

    24

    10

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    3

    0

    [PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks

    Aug 3, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    101779

    OptionProbability

    Jared Kushner participates in talks

    Trump launches new strikes on Iran before any deal is signed

    Trump posts calling a deal "the greatest" before it's actually signed

    Trump explicitly says he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize for it

    Trump declares the MOU "over" again before a final deal

    Iran charges tolls or fees on Strait of Hormuz shipping

    Multinational body created to govern the Strait

    Iran agrees to IAEA inspector access to nuclear sites

    Formal reconstruction fund for Iran is established

    US lifts any sanctions on Iran before 2027

    Israel publicly endorses a US-Iran agreement

    Iran agrees to zero uranium enrichment

    New Iranian Supreme Leader is named before a deal is finalized

    Talks actually begin on Monday, August 4

    Strait of Hormuz fully reopened to commercial shipping by Oct 1

    82

    75

    66

    63

    59

    55

    55

    48

    42

    41

    37

    18

    16

    0

    0

    Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?

    Dec 17, 11:30 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
    5%chance
    131566

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    436

    23

    OptionProbability

    no

    Jared Kushner

    Eric Trump

    Barron Trump

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Melania Trump

    Ivanka Trump

    Tiffany Trump

    Lara Yunaska

    Michael Boulos

    Maryanne Trump Barry

    48

    14

    10

    10

    6

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    Will EA be out of business within 3 years?

    Sep 29, 4:54 PMSep 29, 4:45 PM
    11.65%chance
    10382

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    275

    36

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    313

    32

    OptionProbability

    no

    Jared Kushner

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Lara Yunaska

    Michael Boulos

    Melania Trump

    Ivanka Trump

    Eric Trump

    Tiffany Trump

    Maryanne Trump Barry

    Barron Trump

    51

    11

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    Who will be subpoenaed in 2027? (Add Answers)

    Oct 24, 5:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    214

    OptionProbability

    Jared Kushner

    Elon Musk

    Pete Hegseth

    Donald Trump Jr

    65

    50

    50

    44

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