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Prediction markets for Lake
OptionProbability
35
21
15
12
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
3152
317
Will Lake Powell and/or Lake Mead reach Dead Pool status in 2026
Mar 24, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62740
OptionProbability
7
7
OptionVotes
1518
865
Will the water level in Lake Mead descend below 895 feet, cutting Las Vegas off from water, by the end of 2030?
Nov 8, 6:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1%chance
81080
OptionVotes
917
8
Will google maps say Lake Ontario and not lake America at the end of February 2029?
Aug 30, 5:49 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
64.52%chance
15502
OptionVotes
135
74
Will the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
Mar 29, 8:38 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
40%chance
13413
OptionVotes
373
266
Will Salt Lake City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Apr 19, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM
28%chance
20407
OptionVotes
1089
955
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Mar 19, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
38%chance
11278
OptionVotes
215
191
Will Lake Powell dip below elevation 3,490 ft, which is “minimum power pool” prior to May 1 2027?
May 11, 5:00 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM
50.37%chance
8156
OptionVotes
110
89
OptionProbability
79
66
50
17
OptionVotes
100
48
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