OptionProbability
Mojtaba Khamenei
Other
Reza Pahlavi
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Hassan Rouhani
No Head Of State
Alireza Arafi
Hassan Khomeini
Navid Shomali
Mohamed Amin
Ali Larijani
Masoud Pezeshkian
Maryam Rajavi
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Sadegh Larijani
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
Abbas Araghchi
Ahmad Vahidi
Mohammad Khatami
Ali Asghar Hejazi
Donald Trump
Hassan Shariatmadari
Marco Rubio
Nasir Hosseini
55
24
6
4
2
1
0
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
Ali Khamenei
Mohammad Reza Aref
Hassan Khomenei
Sadiq Larijani
Mohsen Araki
Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i
60
21
5
3
Hashem Hosseini Bushehri
Ongoing “interim” arrangement / power-sharing structure.
No one (regime change, system change) = no Supreme Leader
Power struggle between 1 or more that sees rival Supreme Leaders both with actually realistic claims (based on authority/endorsements by senior clerics and religious figures etc).
Ari Larijani
36
20
11
10
7
OptionVotes
NO
YES
138
73
241
41
243