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Prediction markets for Larry Page
OptionProbability
45
25
7
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
88
85
73
69
68
67
66
65
64
61
58
58
57
54
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49
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32
31
26
25
21
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20
19
18
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16
9
5
4
4
1
OptionProbability
96
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
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79
77
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49
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24
21
21
18
16
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14
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11
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10
9
8
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
46
28
18
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be among the top 5 richest person in the world at the end of 2026? (According to Forbes)
Feb 2, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
192281
OptionProbability
95
89
84
58
35
9
7
6
OptionProbability
24
22
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
Who will be the next CEO of Alphabet (Google), after Sundar Pichai?
Jan 24, 12:21 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
22876
OptionProbability
44
30
8
6
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Trillions: Will there be two more trillionaires besides Elon Musk by February 28, 2029? (2/28/29)
Aug 3, 3:47 PMFeb 27, 11:59 PM
28.43%chance
16844
OptionVotes
159
63
OptionProbability
48
8
6
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
9
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Will Larry Page (cofounder of Google) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 16, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.86%chance
4104
OptionVotes
194
56