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Top stories

Selena Gomez Reveals Cabo Bachelorette Trip Ahead of Benny Blanco Wedding

Selena Gomez Reveals Cabo Bachelorette Trip Ahead of Benny Blanco Wedding

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8 months ago

Prediction markets for Levin

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

46.98%chance

331926

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

691

Will Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?

Jan 10, 4:49 AMJan 17, 4:47 AM

21.27%chance

161369

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NO

1924

520

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.24%chance

28968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1361

797

Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031

Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.28%chance

10704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

986

Will Michael Levin become a investigator with the Howard Hughes Medical Institute?

Jan 3, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

52.12%chance

8548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

182

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

When will Matt Levine write/talk about a new mistake made at Citi Bank caused by bad UI

Feb 10, 10:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1110

OptionProbability

before 2031

before 2030

before 2029

before 2028

before 2027

50

34

24

17

10

Will Morgan Levine start to regularly ANY of {rapamycin, metformin, acarbose, SGLT2 inhibitors) by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:46 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

54.16%chance

767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

103

Will Stephen Wolfram and Michael Levin have a joint public conversation/podcast/panel in 2026?

Feb 23, 3:31 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

51.04%chance

39

OptionVotes

NO

YES

357

343

Will Michael Levin get a pet axolotl by EOY 2035?

Sep 16, 7:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Morgan Levine win the Robert W. Kleemeier Award?

Dec 23, 3:56 AM

00

Is Michael Levin a vibe engineer (a la https://www.thewayofcode.com/ )

Oct 19, 9:02 PM

20

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Selena Gomez Reveals Cabo Bachelorette Trip Ahead of Benny Blanco Wedding
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