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Prediction markets for Luiz
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
11418865
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
93
92
91
91
91
90
89
88
87
87
85
84
82
81
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
73
72
72
72
72
70
69
69
68
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
62
61
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
56
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
47
47
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
37
36
36
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
28
25
25
22
21
20
17
16
9
8
6
6
6
🇧🇷 2026: winner is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado vence
Sep 24, 9:28 AMJan 16, 7:59 PM
45.28%chance
5018281
OptionVotes
44742
35956
OptionVotes
5350
187
OptionProbability
2
2
2
1
1
0
Will Luis Elizondo ever be criminally convicted of making false statements about UFOs/UAP?
Dec 17, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.12%chance
201586
OptionVotes
662
65
Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.98%chance
161505
OptionVotes
2046
896
OptionProbability
34
22
8
7
7
6
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
Brazil reaches US agreement on Trump tariffs this year?
Oct 27, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.25%chance
11628
OptionVotes
119
84
OptionProbability
99
42
37
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
21
Will Mauro Cid lose the benefits of his delação premiada (plea bargain) before 2026?
Nov 20, 5:01 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM
3.81%chance
2405
OptionVotes
503
20
Will people who graduate around 2028 regret about starting a degree around 2023? Consider AI development.
Mar 27, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.61%chance
11248
OptionVotes
1087
933
Jorge Messias confirmed to Brazilian Supreme Court by March 31, 2026?
Nov 21, 2:30 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
70.61%chance
155
OptionVotes
155
65