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Machado News

    Prediction markets for Machado

    President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

    Jan 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    337103565

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez

    Other

    María Corina Machado

    Edmundo González

    Nicolás Maduro

    Diosdado Cabello

    Vladimir Padrino López

    60

    15

    9

    6

    5

    4

    1

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Donald Trump

    Yulia Navalnaya

    UNRWA

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Greta Thunberg

    MSF / Doctors without Borders

    Vladimir Putin

    Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

    The International Court of Justice

    UNESCO

    Philippe Lazzarini

    Joe Biden

    Alexei Navalny

    Kyaw Moe Tun

    José Andrés

    World Uyghur Congress

    Maria Corina Machado

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

    Timnit Gebru

    Elon Musk

    NATO

    Netanyahu

    JD Vance

    AOC

    Antonio Guterres

    Julian Assange

    David Attenborough

    Pope Francis

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Keir Starmer

    European Union

    Ilham Tohti

    Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    International Court of Justice

    Jacinda Ardern

    Raoni Metuktire

    José Andrés

    Loujain al-Hathloul

    Ilwad Elman

    Wa Lone

    Narendra Modi

    Yvonne Ridley

    Hajer Sharief

    Alexis Tsipras

    Isaias Afwerki

    Nathan Law

    Agnes Chow

    Filippo Grandi

    Yuan Longping

    Mahbouba Seraj

    Narges Mohammadi

    Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

    Juan Carlos Jintiach

    Joshua Wong

    Ernest Moniz

    DOGE

    Kamala Harris

    Noam Chomsky

    International Fact-Checking Network

    Manifold Markets

    Justin Trudeau

    Aleksandr Lukashenko

    Sam Altman

    Kim Jong Un

    Abdullah Öcalan

    Daniel Sheehan

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    @Krantz

    Gustavo Petro

    The Iranian protesters

    Peacekeepers

    71

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be a UFC champion at some point?

    Mar 27, 6:07 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
    2210706

    OptionProbability

    Merab Dvalishvili

    Belal Muhammad

    Jack Della Maddalena

    Khamzat Chimaev

    Magomed Ankalaev

    Kayla Harrison

    Steve Erceg

    Arman Tsarukyan

    Shavkat Rakhmonov

    Cory Sandhagen

    Movsar Evloev

    Benoît Saint Denis

    Rafael Fiziev

    Brendan Allen

    Jailton Almeida

    Arnold Allen

    Mateusz Gamrot

    Michael Page

    Amir Albazi

    Sean Brady

    Erin Blanchfield

    Maycee Barber

    Mayra Bueno Silva

    Ketlen Vieira

    Bo Nickal

    Manel Kape

    Diego Lopes

    Ian Machado Garry

    Ciryl Gane

    Aleksandar Rakić

    Tatiana Suarez

    Kai Kara-France

    Michael Chandler

    Josh Emmett

    Calvin Kattar

    Vicente Luque

    Jared Cannonier

    Johnny Walker

    Khalil Rountree Jr.

    Alexander Volkov

    Drew Dober

    Paulo Costa

    Beneil Dariush

    Sergei Pavlovich

    Bobby Green

    Marvin Vettori

    Brian Ortega

    Yan Xiaonan

    Curtis Blaydes

    Muhammad Mokaev

    Paul Craig

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    59

    52

    52

    44

    44

    44

    42

    42

    41

    40

    40

    37

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    35

    34

    32

    32

    28

    28

    26

    23

    22

    21

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    17

    17

    16

    16

    14

    14

    13

    11

    8

    0

    0

    Will Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?

    Jan 3, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    14.61%chance
    539556

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2420

    414

    Next Venezuelan President

    Jan 3, 9:01 AMSep 30, 8:58 AM
    719084

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez

    Maria Corina Machado

    Other

    Edmundo González

    80

    10

    7

    3

    Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?

    Jul 5, 9:47 AMJan 1, 10:40 AM
    372721

    OptionProbability

    María Corina Machado

    Alexei Kitaev

    Robin Hanson

    Donald Trump

    Jamie Joyce

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    John Preskill

    Jared Kushner

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Elon Musk

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    @Krantz

    99

    84

    50

    47

    34

    29

    26

    26

    10

    8

    7

    6

    6

    3

    0

    US–Venezuela conflict prop bets

    Jan 5, 7:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    281953

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026

    Nicolás Maduro is convicted and incarcerated in a US prison

    Despite all unlawful actions by the US, venezuelan economy prospers.

    Will María Machado return to Venezuela before 2026 June 1?

    US deploys ground troops to Venezuela

    UN Security Council passes a resolution condemning US actions in Venezuela

    Either the US or Venezuela declares war on the other

    Will the Venezuelan government officially announce early presidential elections before 1 June 2026?

    María Corina Machado becomes interim president of Venezuela by 31 March 2026

    97

    87

    86

    32

    21

    8

    7

    7

    3

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    322

    277

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    777

    13

    OptionProbability

    Ball to the wall riots, in Caracas, and other cities, the full 10 yards with burning tires etc.

    at least 10 persons is killed due to police violence

    A massive police/millitary crackdown on said riots

    at least 50 persons is arrested due to demonstrations

    at least 50 persons is arrested due to her return...

    Imprisonment

    She disapears from the public eye ...

    Executión (LEO)

    Assassination attempt

    51

    41

    34

    34

    34

    21

    20

    17

    12

    OptionProbability

    Gets nothing

    Gets something

    67

    33

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    181

    81

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