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Top stories

Cuba's Miguel Diaz-Canel and Venezuela's Maduro Condemn U.S. Military Deployment as 25,000 Troops Deployed in Catatumbo

US Foreign Policy

Cuba's Miguel Diaz-Canel and Venezuela's Maduro Condemn U.S. Military Deployment as 25,000 Troops Deployed in Catatumbo

Authors

3

5 months ago

María Corina Machado Demands Release of Pilieri and Rocha, Backs U.S. Caribbean Deployment Against Maduro's Narcotrafficking

US Foreign Policy

María Corina Machado Demands Release of Pilieri and Rocha, Backs U.S. Caribbean Deployment Against Maduro's Narcotrafficking

Authors

4

5 months ago

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

Authors

14

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Naval Deployment Near Venezuela Escalates Tensions, Accusing Maduro of Leading Cartel de los Soles

Authors

3

5 months ago

US Intensifies Crackdown on Venezuela’s Cartel de los Soles with El Mayo Plea, 2,800kg Cocaine Seizure; Chile Debates Kast’s Pension Loan Proposal

Authors

8

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Maduro-Trump Tensions Persist as Chile Plans $1.2 Trillion Fiscal Savings Under Grau and Debates Kast Proposal at Innova Summit

Authors

7

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Petro, Lula and Arce Lead Amazon Summit in Bogotá Amid U.S. Indictment Warning and Maduro Accusations

Authors

6

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez Highlights Economic Growth, Chevron Oil Shipments; Maduro Accuses Rubio; Petro Responds to Giménez's Legal Threats

Authors

4

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Maduro

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

166227047

OptionProbability

We don't find out by end of 2026

Other

Pete Hegseth (SecDef)

Barron Trump

Jorge Rodríguez (brother of Delcy Rodríguez)

Aurelio Perez-Lugones (Pentagon Contractor)

JD Vance (VP)

Stephen Miller (Homeland Security)

Marco Rubio (Sec State)

John Ratcliffe (CIA)

Nicolás Maduro (former Venezuelan President)

Eitan Levi (is a civilian associate within the extended personal network of a U.S. Delta Force member)

Amanda Rubio (daughter of Marco Rubio)

86

10

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?

Dec 30, 7:25 PMDec 31, 1:45 PM

3.34%chance

9959270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5383

186

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

35%chance

7410278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

258

160

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.23%chance

253337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2587

968

If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?

Aug 1, 11:23 PMJul 29, 3:59 AM

24.81%chance

112020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

574

Will Maduro have a trial in USA during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.81%chance

201814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

Nicolás Maduro arrested by end of 2028?

Aug 8, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

211717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Maduro back in power before 2030?

Jan 4, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.27%chance

11694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

387

26

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

14680

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

59

51

49

46

Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife?

Jan 3, 7:51 PMDec 31, 7:49 PM

17.51%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

46

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?

Feb 17, 6:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30%chance

12209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

82

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