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Prediction markets for Mahmoud Abbas
😇Who will go to Heaven by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8728721
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
95
76
71
66
65
64
52
50
49
47
45
45
42
38
37
37
33
30
27
23
22
20
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5313931
OptionProbability
100
100
97
83
80
75
73
66
54
52
44
43
39
31
27
26
26
25
24
23
23
21
21
21
20
18
18
17
17
14
14
14
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
23.43%chance
724123
OptionVotes
1559
1006
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
193955
OptionProbability
89
82
78
71
59
40
37
35
35
19
15
13
OptionProbability
36
16
14
10
5
5
5
4
2
2
2
Which politician on this list of 20 politicians will pass away first?
Jan 8, 5:14 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
8775
OptionProbability
26
12
7
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Which of these 12 politicians will no longer be in power first? Leaving first => 100% all others go to 0%
Jan 8, 5:19 PMJan 31, 7:59 AM
11772
OptionProbability
50
14
7
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
OptionProbability
37
30
17
8
3
3
1
Will Mahmoud Abbas be still alive on the 1st of January 2026?
Nov 12, 7:53 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
85.04%chance
8423
OptionVotes
238
42
OptionProbability
54
18
9
7
6
5
Who will be the next world leader to die violently while in office?
Jan 1, 2:18 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
15338
OptionProbability
57
11
9
8
6
6
2
1
Which politician on this list of 20 politicians will pass away tenth?
Feb 18, 7:16 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
4136
OptionProbability
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
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