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Mahmoud Abbas News

    Prediction markets for Mahmoud Abbas

    IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

    Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
    3510993

    OptionProbability

    Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

    Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

    Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

    Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

    Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

    Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

    Donald Trump, US President, 1946

    Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

    Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

    Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

    91

    91

    84

    83

    79

    61

    43

    31

    27

    1

    0

    0

    Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

    Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
    30.85%chance
    794817

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1207

    1136

    Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027

    Mar 2, 9:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
    8715

    OptionProbability

    Jair Bolsonaro (1955)

    All live until June 30 2027 eod

    Raul Castro (1931)

    Mahmoud Abbas (1935)

    Donald Trump (1946)

    Vladimir Putin (1952)

    Bashar al-Assad (1965)

    Xi Jinping (1953)

    Kim Jong Un (1982, 1983, or 1984)

    Nicolas Maduro (1962)

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy (1978)

    Angela Merkel (1954)

    Viktor Orbán (1963)

    Narendra Modi (1950)

    Alexander Lukashenko (1954)

    Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (1954)

    Nicolas Sarkozy (1955)

    Tony Blair (1953)

    Boris Johnson (1964)

    25

    17

    13

    7

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?

    Dec 4, 3:51 AMDec 11, 4:59 AM
    15701

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Hussein Al-Sheikh

    Marwan Barghouti

    Mohammed Dahlan

    Mohammad Shtayyeh

    No one

    57

    11

    9

    8

    8

    6

    Who will lead the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas?

    Feb 15, 2:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    10665

    OptionProbability

    Rawhi Fattouh

    Other

    Hussein al-Sheikh (currently secretary-general of the Executive Committee)

    Mohammad Shtayyeh (current Prime Minister)

    Marwan Barghouti (currently in prison)

    Mohammed Dahlan (currently in exile in UAE)

    Ismail Haniyeh (Current Hamas leader, in exile in Qatar)

    46

    25

    12

    7

    6

    3

    1

    Which politician on this list of 20 politicians will pass away tenth?

    Feb 18, 7:16 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
    7462

    OptionProbability

    Donald Trump (1946)

    Vladimir Putin (1952)

    Bashar al-Assad (1965)

    Xi Jinping (1953)

    Nicolas Maduro (1962)

    Alexander Lukashenko (1954)

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy (1978)

    Angela Merkel (1954)

    Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (1954)

    Viktor Orbán (1963)

    Nicolas Sarkozy (1955)

    Tony Blair (1953)

    Jair Bolsonaro (1955)

    Narendra Modi (1950)

    Kim Jong Un (1982, 1983, or 1984)

    Mahmoud Abbas (1935)

    Boris Johnson (1964)

    Raul Castro (1931)

    Dick Cheney (1941)

    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (1939)

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    4

    4

    4

    3

    1

    1

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