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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

5 months ago

NYC Hopeful Mamdani Draws Fire for Plan to Drop Misdemeanor Policing

US Domestic Policy

NYC Hopeful Mamdani Draws Fire for Plan to Drop Misdemeanor Policing

Authors

9

5 months ago

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Authors

12

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

VP Vance Defends Tight Borders, Rebukes New York Progressive

Authors

5

5 months ago

33-Year-Old NYC Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani Requires Spotter to Bench Press 135 Pounds, Faces Criticism Amid Poll Lead

Authors

46

5 months ago

Chuck Schumer, Andrew Cuomo Criticize Zohran Mamdani Over BDS, Hamas Support and NYC Exodus Risks

Authors

6

6 months ago

ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity

Authors

6

6 months ago

Zohran Mamdani’s New Yorkers for Lower Costs PAC Gets $250,000 From Hedge Fund Heiress Simons; Texas Democrat Talarico Takes $59,000 From Miriam Adelson

Authors

9

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Mamdani

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3019974

OptionProbability

NO

Other

YES

Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.

94

3

2

1

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.8%chance

1711205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

831

Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election

Nov 17, 3:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.37%chance

132395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

459

Will Trump and Mamdani openly feud before February 21?

Nov 22, 12:58 AMFeb 20, 11:59 PM

67.74%chance

261949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1449

690

Will leftists like Mamdani?

Sep 12, 3:01 AMJan 1, 3:53 AM

60.25%chance

121132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

812

If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?

Aug 24, 6:33 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

45.02%chance

11956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

Will Jimmy Fallon repeat his “stockbroker spooning with Zohran Mamdani” joke again by end of February?

Jan 24, 7:15 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

52.94%chance

5423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

943

Will NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?

Nov 12, 3:04 AMDec 13, 3:01 AM

93.49%chance

8398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

379

26

If Zohran Mamdani is elected mayor of New York in 2025, what will the rental vacancy rate be in 2029?

May 25, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2205

OptionProbability

1 - 1.9%

2 - 2.9%

3 - 3.9%

Below 1%

4 - 5%

Above 5%

24

24

24

16

10

4

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Dec 20, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

6117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

On June 30, will Mamdani have a positive net favorability among NYC residents per the latest Siena College poll?

Jan 12, 12:42 AMJul 2, 11:59 PM

42.25%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

Will Jimmy Fallon make a metacomment about his “stockbroker spooning with Zohran Mamdani” joke again by end of February?

Jan 24, 7:17 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

49.21%chance

557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

984

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