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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

3 months ago

NYC Hopeful Mamdani Draws Fire for Plan to Drop Misdemeanor Policing

US Domestic Policy

NYC Hopeful Mamdani Draws Fire for Plan to Drop Misdemeanor Policing

Authors

9

3 months ago

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Authors

12

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

VP Vance Defends Tight Borders, Rebukes New York Progressive

Authors

5

3 months ago

33-Year-Old NYC Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani Requires Spotter to Bench Press 135 Pounds, Faces Criticism Amid Poll Lead

Authors

46

3 months ago

Chuck Schumer, Andrew Cuomo Criticize Zohran Mamdani Over BDS, Hamas Support and NYC Exodus Risks

Authors

6

3 months ago

ADL CEO Greenblatt Criticizes NYC Candidate Mamdani Over Outreach, Citing 'Globalize the Intifada'; CNBC Corrects False Claims; CAIR Seeks NGO Funding Clarity

Authors

6

4 months ago

Zohran Mamdani’s New Yorkers for Lower Costs PAC Gets $250,000 From Hedge Fund Heiress Simons; Texas Democrat Talarico Takes $59,000 From Miriam Adelson

Authors

9

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Mamdani

Trump & Mamdani Meeting Prop Bets

Nov 20, 3:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17437476

OptionProbability

Trump at least briefly appears to have a change of heart on Mamdani, his ideology or his policies

Trump does nothing to spite Mamdani

Trump and Mamdani shake hands during the meeting?

Trump compliments Mamdani

Israel is mentioned

Anti-semitism is mentioned

Trump says “affordability” during meeting

Trump deploys ICE in NYC

Trump refuses to grant Mamdani a security clearance

Trump pauses all federal funding to NYC

Trump will blow Mamdani

Trump says Kwame during meeting?

Trump gets Excited about Buses

Jd Vance is at the meeting

Trump mispronounces Mamdani's name

Marco Rubio is at the meeting

Mamdani compliments Trump

Trump says “communist” or “communism”

Mamdani compliments Trump?

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

5

4

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Trump calls for deportation of Zohran Mamdani by EOY2025?

Jun 12, 2:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.16%chance

17727144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6829

199

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3019658

OptionProbability

NO

YES

Other

Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.

94

2

2

1

Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election

Nov 17, 3:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.37%chance

132395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

459

Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested or deported by EOY2025?

Jun 26, 6:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.06%chance

291947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1446

193

Will Trump and Mamdani openly feud before February 21?

Nov 22, 12:58 AMFeb 20, 11:59 PM

62.5%chance

241248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

775

Will leftists like Mamdani?

Sep 12, 3:01 AMJan 1, 3:53 AM

60.25%chance

121132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

812

If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?

Aug 24, 6:33 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

45.02%chance

11956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

Will Mamdani be re-elected?

Jul 1, 2:59 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

76.82%chance

30897

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?

Sep 29, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.32%chance

11244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

3192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

926

Will zohran mamdani be a member of Congress by the end of 2034?

Aug 3, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.62%chance

8157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

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