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Prediction markets for Manifold
👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
56.31%chance
440954278
OptionVotes
12844
6434
Which will be Manifold's largest revenue driver at the end of 2025?
Aug 11, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
127565977
OptionProbability
34
32
9
7
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionVotes
3668
2233
What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)
Apr 27, 8:33 PMDec 27, 10:59 PM
55.39%chance
139101337
OptionProbability
1411
1260
Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?
Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.59%chance
6239747
OptionVotes
32582
1375
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?
Jan 22, 7:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
71.4%chance
4918536
OptionVotes
17049
3233
Will James or Austin return to Manifold before 2026?
Sep 15, 6:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.55%chance
2717673
OptionVotes
23775
6052
OptionVotes
11616
8644
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
3412373
OptionVotes
19679
5082
OptionVotes
1614
1163
Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?
Apr 18, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.42%chance
157995
OptionVotes
2540
394
OptionProbability
50
50
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