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Top stories

Ohio State, Clemson, Notre Dame Favored with Point Spreads; Arch Manning Leads Heisman, Texas Longhorns +550 Championship Odds

Prediction Markets

Ohio State, Clemson, Notre Dame Favored with Point Spreads; Arch Manning Leads Heisman, Texas Longhorns +550 Championship Odds

Authors

8

7 months ago

Texas QB Arch Manning Undecided on 2026 NFL Draft

Texas QB Arch Manning Undecided on 2026 NFL Draft

Authors

6

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Manning

Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?

Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32%chance

8721359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

1073

Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?

Dec 28, 12:30 AMFeb 22, 9:22 PM

37.05%chance

14519125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2422

1176

Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?

Apr 10, 11:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.7%chance

919797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3501

1431

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man?

Dec 22, 10:06 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

70.66%chance

485968

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1552

644

Will a manned interstellar mission be launched before January 1, 2060?

May 19, 7:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20%chance

252656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.56%chance

421535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

884

Will a Man, Woman, or Human step foot on Mars before 2045?

Feb 10, 12:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.94%chance

7736

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1249

801

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?

Apr 2, 1:06 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

23.65%chance

21688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

872

Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?

Mar 8, 2:27 PMDec 16, 2:59 AM

39.42%chance

21668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

929

Will CNSA construct a manned lunar base before 2040?

Sep 23, 2:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

10464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

962

Will we land on Mars with a Manned Vehicle until 2040?

Jan 19, 7:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.63%chance

16355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

955

Will Plastic Man make an appearance in the DCU before 2040?

Aug 18, 11:04 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.75%chance

237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

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