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Prediction markets for Maria
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
7513519
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
97
86
84
81
78
78
75
74
73
69
68
65
65
65
65
63
62
62
61
60
60
60
60
59
59
55
54
54
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
46
46
45
44
44
43
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
41
41
41
39
39
39
39
36
36
35
35
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
31
31
31
30
30
28
28
23
23
22
22
21
18
17
14
14
9
8
7
5
5
Will Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Jan 3, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.33%chance
539789
OptionVotes
2186
458
OptionProbability
48
34
17
1
OptionProbability
72
34
33
22
20
4
4
4
4
4
Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Oct 25, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.99%chance
271567
OptionVotes
522
177
Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)
Jan 17, 7:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18759
OptionProbability
89
11
Will Di Maria Play for Argentina Again Before Retirement?
Jan 14, 3:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM
6.64%chance
6302
OptionVotes
375
27
Will Maria Lvova-Belova serve a prison term for forcible deportation of Ukrainian children before EOY 2050?
Nov 19, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
35.72%chance
5180
OptionVotes
185
114
Will Maria Agazio (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 18, 12:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.95%chance
5106
OptionVotes
236
94
Next pretender or their issue to assume the throne of a European restored monarchy. Only one resolves YES. (add answers)
Aug 9, 2:20 PMFeb 17, 3:11 PM
265
OptionProbability
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
Who will win the Northern Mariana Islands in the 2028 Republican presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
44
27
18
12
Who will win the Northern Mariana Islands in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
57
20
13
10
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