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Mary Peltola News

    Prediction markets for Mary Peltola

    US Midterms MEGA Market

    Oct 31, 11:28 PMNov 20, 11:59 PM
    16997029

    OptionProbability

    Dems win Florida and/or Texas Governor

    Any Republican held senate seat is called by the associated press within 2 minutes of polls closing in the state

    Democrats win Georgia and Nevada Governor election

    Abdul el Sayed wins by 1.5% or more

    Associated Press or NBC make house control projection before 11.01pm Tues Nov 3

    This market has 100+ total traders by 11.59pm tues Nov 3 eastern time.

    Maine senate election is called before Alaska senate (associated press)

    James Talarico declared winner by associated press before 9am Wednesday by associated press?

    Democrats win Kansas and Iowa senate

    Democrats win Kansas and Texas governor

    Democrats win Texas Governor

    Susan Collins AND Mike Lawler Lose?

    Democrats win 52 senate seats or more (resolves on ap projections)

    Democrats win 53 senate seats or more (resolves on ap projections)

    Any senate race NOT yet called by the associated press 2 days after polls closed?

    Democrats win 55 senate seats or more (resolves on ap projections)

    Ca Wealth tax (prop 40) fails by 5% or more

    Abdul El Sayed and James Talarico both win by 2.5% or more

    Mary Peltola AND James Talarico win

    Any US house race has a margin of victory of 1000 votes or less

    Any US house race has a margin of victory of 500 votes or less

    Scott colom wins by 2000 votes or more

    Mississippi is closest senate race (by margin of victory)

    Democrats win 56 senate seats or more (ap projections)

    Mississippi senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Nov 20

    Mississippi senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Nov 17

    Mississippi senate is called before Alaska senate? (Associated press)

    Mississippi senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Nov 14

    Scott colom wins by 3500 votes or more

    Any senate election has margin of victory of 0.5% or less

    Mississippi senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Nov 10

    Scott colom wins by 5000 votes or more

    Abdul el Sayed wins by 7.5% or more

    Mississippi senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Nov 8

    Mary Peltola gets 50% or more in first round of Alaska senate

    Scott colom wins by 7500 votes or more

    A Tweet from @ AbdulElSayed gets 500k+ likes within 24 hours.

    A tweet from @ Jamestalarico gets 500k+ likes within 24 hours

    Any senate candidate wins with 47% or less of the vote

    Scott colom wins by 10000 votes or more

    Any Republican senate candidate says the election was stolen, cheated, or fraud stopped them from winning, before Nov 6 11.59pm ET

    Trump falsely declares victory/says his candidate won in a race they did not (before 11.59pm et Nov 6)

    Mary Peltola wins by more than Troy Jackson (resolves on final round results)

    Abdul El Sayed wins by 8% or more

    Abdul el Sayed mentions Haley stevens by name in election night speech (or first speech next day if none)

    BOTH Maine and Alaska senate not called by 11.59pm Eastern Wed Nov 4

    Mike rogers claims the Michigan election was stolen/rigged/cheated/inconsistent before 11.59pm Thursday Nov 5

    Abdul El Sayed wins by more than Peggy Flanagan does in Minnesota?

    Adam Hamilton (Kansas) wins by more than Abdul el sayed

    Alaska senate called by associated press by 11.59pm eastern Wed Nov 4

    Donald trump POSTS 10 times on truth social on Wednesday Nov 4, eastern time. Posts only, retruths don’t count.

    La Mayor election called by Ap or NBC by 11.59pm pacific time Nov 4?

    Mississippi senate is called before 11.59pm eastern Nov 4. (Associated press)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    98

    98

    95

    94

    94

    92

    91

    80

    76

    65

    63

    60

    40

    32

    31

    30

    19

    16

    14

    13

    13

    9

    9

    6

    5

    5

    3

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

    Nov 27, 4:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    20689590

    OptionProbability

    Mary Peltola (D)

    Dan Sullivan (R)

    Other

    98

    2

    0

    Which US Senators and Candidates will win?

    May 15, 7:57 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
    8550099

    OptionProbability

    Sherrod Brown - 2026 Ohio

    James Talarico - 2026 Texas

    Abdul El Sayed - 2026 Michigan

    Ashley Moody - 2026 Florida

    Roy Cooper - 2026 North Carolina

    Jon Ossoff - 2026 Georgia

    Ed Markey - 2026 Massachusetts

    Josh Turek - 2026 Iowa

    Mary Peltola - 2026 Alaska

    Mike Lee - 2028 Utah

    Bernie Sanders - 2030 Vermont

    Chuck Grassley - 2028 Iowa

    Chuck Schumer - 2028 New York

    John Fetterman - 2028 Pennsylvania

    Lindsey Graham - 2026 South Carolina

    Dan Osborn - 2026 Nebraska

    Graham Platner - 2026 Maine

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    77

    68

    28

    23

    22

    8

    0

    0

    0

    Democrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026?

    Aug 23, 3:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    98.24%chance
    4318291

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    7463

    134

    Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?

    Oct 31, 5:24 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM
    28.04%chance
    2510812

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2986

    1427

    First Round of Alaska Senate winner?

    Oct 31, 8:51 PMNov 8, 10:59 AM
    209026

    OptionProbability

    Mary Peltola

    Dan Sullivan (Incumbent)

    Other

    95

    5

    0

    Which Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

    Jan 21, 6:12 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    103566

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Bobby Pulido (D- TX15)

    Susan Collins (R|ME-SEN)

    Adam Hamilton (D- KS Sen)

    Henry Cuellar (D|TX-26)

    Jack Reed (D|CT-SEN)

    Brian Fitzpatrick (R|PA-01)

    Mary Peltola (D|AK-SEN)

    Dusty Johnson (R|SD-AL)

    Kristen McDonald Rivet (D|MI-08)

    Grace Meng (D|NY-6)

    45

    35

    6

    6

    4

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Who will run for U.S. President in 2028 [Add Answers]

    Jun 9, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    12638

    OptionProbability

    Pete Buttigieg

    Gavin Newsom

    Cory Booker

    Marco Rubio

    Kamala harris

    Thomas Massie

    John Kennedy

    Tommy Tuberville

    Tucker Carlson

    Chase Oliver

    Donald Trump

    John Fetterman

    Mary Peltola

    James talarico

    Graham Platner

    Joe Biden

    Pope Leo XIV

    83

    77

    66

    61

    50

    50

    50

    36

    36

    34

    28

    24

    24

    21

    7

    3

    3

    If elected, which senators will vote FOR at least one Trump judicial nominee in 2027?

    Oct 29, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6330

    OptionProbability

    Mary Peltola

    Sherrod Brown

    Dan Osborn

    Adam Hamilton

    Annie Andrews

    Scott Colom

    Angie Nixon

    Chris Pappas

    Troy Jackson

    James Talarico

    Peggy Flanagan

    Juliana Stratton

    Abdul El-Sayed

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    46

    30

    30

    25

    Which new Senators will vote as left wing as Elizabeth Warren in 2027?

    Oct 25, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6304

    OptionProbability

    Abdul El Sayed

    Peggy Flanagan

    Troy Jackson

    Peggy Flanagan

    Angie Nixon

    Annie Andrews

    Julia Stratton

    James Talarico

    Scott Colom

    Dan Osborn

    Sherrod Brown

    Adam Hamilton

    Mary Peltola

    Roy Cooper

    Chris Pappas

    Josh Turek

    84

    75

    70

    70

    70

    61

    50

    10

    10

    10

    10

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    Will the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?

    Oct 29, 5:44 AMDec 1, 5:00 AM
    28%chance
    15257

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    113

    40

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