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Prediction markets for Massie
"Massive anti-AI preference cascade based on xrisk" by end of 2025?
Jul 19, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:24 PM
9.98%chance
13158142
OptionVotes
30027
3330
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
Oct 10, 1:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
29%chance
343538
OptionVotes
1565
639
OptionVotes
1167
857
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Jul 31, 10:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.28%chance
111353
OptionVotes
624
112
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
Jun 1, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.83%chance
22864
OptionVotes
1124
534
OptionVotes
1084
876
OptionVotes
1326
754
OptionProbability
71
60
48
48
45
24
Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?
Mar 2, 2:46 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM
36.39%chance
5322
OptionVotes
1322
756
Will AI be capable of fast self improvement before physical AI robots are massively used for improving AI capabilities?
Nov 9, 12:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
87.32%chance
8174
OptionVotes
268
59
Will there be massive emigration before 2040 from USA due to the election and governance of a right wing government?
Oct 23, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM
32.02%chance
6172
OptionVotes
106
91
Will China complete a massive hydropower development on the Great Bend of the Yarlung Tsangpo River by 2050?
Jul 14, 8:56 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
60.54%chance
235
OptionVotes
83
60
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