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McCarthy News

    Prediction markets for McCarthy

    Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

    Oct 25, 10:46 PMJan 8, 4:59 AM
    5720067

    OptionProbability

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Other

    Steve Scalise

    Tom Emmer

    Jim Jordan

    Patrick McHenry

    Kevin McCarthy

    Elise Stefanik

    Kevin Hern

    Tom Cole

    Elon Musk

    84

    12

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Gene McCarthy's DNA analysis of humans as bonobo/pig hybrids be confirmed by 2030?

    Sep 7, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    7.36%chance
    4810748

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3547

    282

    Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

    Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    142784

    OptionProbability

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    100

    100

    100

    79

    76

    68

    68

    66

    66

    66

    58

    57

    56

    56

    51

    49

    48

    47

    46

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    37

    37

    36

    35

    35

    34

    33

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    27

    24

    0

    Manifold Scouts: NFL Quarterback Peak Success

    Mar 11, 8:05 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
    122455

    OptionProbability

    Sam Darnold

    Drake Maye

    Joe Burrow

    Brock Purdy

    Jared Goff

    Jimmy Garoppolo

    Josh Allen

    Jayden Daniels

    Lamar Jackson

    Jordan Love

    Bo Nix

    Caleb Williams

    Justin Herbert

    Cam Ward

    Jaxson Dart

    C.J. Stroud

    Dak Prescott

    Bryce Young

    Michael Penix Jr.

    Kirk Cousins

    J.J. McCarthy

    Kyler Murray

    Anthony Richardson

    Justin Fields

    Tua Tagovailoa

    Shedeur Sanders

    99

    84

    83

    80

    80

    80

    72

    70

    67

    63

    55

    55

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    45

    41

    41

    37

    37

    27

    26

    26

    22

    Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

    Oct 2, 2:51 AMJan 9, 3:59 PM
    1.79%chance
    101143

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2077

    924

    Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?

    Oct 4, 6:10 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM
    2.93%chance
    91044

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1149

    83

    Who will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?

    Dec 13, 9:18 PMJan 3, 5:00 PM
    8591

    OptionProbability

    Mike Johnson

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Steve Scalise

    Jim Jordan

    Tom Emmer

    Patrick McHenry

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Elise Stefanik

    Donald Trump

    Jim Clyburn

    Elon Musk

    Kevin McCarthy

    Nancy Pelosi

    100

    72

    10

    10

    10

    10

    8

    6

    5

    5

    5

    3

    1

    Kevin McCarthy stock (permanent)

    Mar 27, 6:26 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    20468

    OptionProbability

    YES

    NO

    404

    376

    Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

    May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    54.55%chance
    7225

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1060

    1037

    Will any Speaker of the House other than McCarthy be removed by the end of 2040?

    Oct 24, 8:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    76.3%chance
    8115

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    257

    126

    Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028?

    May 21, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    63.44%chance
    496

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    994

    837

    What year will Mike McCarthy stop being the Head Coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers?

    Jan 28, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    194

    OptionProbability

    2027

    2028

    2029

    2030

    Other

    2026

    21

    21

    21

    21

    9

    8

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