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Prediction markets for Merrick Garland
OptionProbability
26
15
14
12
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
99
93
90
88
83
80
80
78
78
75
66
58
56
53
50
50
50
49
45
41
41
39
35
33
31
25
23
14
13
8
5
3
3
Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?
May 3, 2:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
393710
OptionProbability
66
18
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
152884
OptionProbability
100
100
100
82
79
76
68
68
66
66
66
58
57
56
56
51
49
48
47
46
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
37
37
36
35
35
34
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
27
24
0
Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
82247
OptionProbability
100
100
58
50
31
31
31
31
31
31
0
0
0
Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
Nov 9, 4:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
9.71%chance
62050
OptionVotes
3050
328
OptionProbability
307
273
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