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Top stories

South Park Moves to Bi-Weekly Schedule After 6.2 Million-View Episode

South Park Moves to Bi-Weekly Schedule After 6.2 Million-View Episode

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Meta

Meta (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:02 PM

10277118

Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?

Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.89%chance

4216602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21156

4474

Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?

Mar 7, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

928888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1547

1342

Will Meta ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?

Jan 26, 6:59 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

80.46%chance

404301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1403

867

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.71%chance

302282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

453

Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?

Jul 1, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.67%chance

82165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1383

723

Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?

Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.75%chance

171913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

873

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.08%chance

241733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

921

Will Meta's Metaverse ever outearn its Facebook?

Nov 5, 12:11 AMJul 23, 3:59 AM

18.16%chance

221207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

847

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.73%chance

18430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

1002

Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.

Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21.88%chance

19413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1321

881

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

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