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Top stories

HBO Max Sets 8 Jan 2026 Return for Emmy-Nominated “The Pitt”

HBO Max Sets 8 Jan 2026 Return for Emmy-Nominated “The Pitt”

Authors

6

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Michael

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.1%chance

233895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

934

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

14.57%chance

192693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1466

863

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

46.98%chance

331926

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

691

Next Michael Lewis book primarily about prediction markets?

Nov 25, 5:00 PMMar 1, 5:59 AM

20.82%chance

81077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1950

513

Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028?

Jul 29, 7:50 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

39.19%chance

161031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1246

803

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

500

Will the Michael Jackson biopic include a white Michael Jackson?

Jan 31, 12:53 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

86.37%chance

17774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1326

868

Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031

Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.28%chance

10704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

986

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

25%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

977

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.05%chance

12358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

928

Is Michael Huang (myself) going to obtain a physics major before 2028

Apr 20, 3:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.91%chance

10264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

165

Will Michael Tartre get to play a @T90Official regicide diplomacy/regicide rumble game by EOY2033?

Jul 22, 8:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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