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Top stories

HBO Max Sets 8 Jan 2026 Return for Emmy-Nominated “The Pitt”

HBO Max Sets 8 Jan 2026 Return for Emmy-Nominated “The Pitt”

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Michael

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.14%chance

234002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

921

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

14.28%chance

212747

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

859

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

48.2%chance

331946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

669

Next Michael Lewis book primarily about prediction markets?

Nov 25, 5:00 PMMar 1, 5:59 AM

15.08%chance

81654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

100

Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?

Apr 26, 4:14 PMJan 14, 5:13 PM

47.8%chance

221601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

744

Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028?

Jul 29, 7:50 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

24.71%chance

171531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

573

Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031

Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

62.85%chance

131399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1301

769

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

121065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2040

861

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

500

Will Michael Levin be awarded the Nobel Prize?

May 27, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.57%chance

4900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

571

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

19.93%chance

11899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

905

Will Michael Trazzi win the Legion d'Honneur by EOY2050?

Sep 21, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.79%chance

279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

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