Mina News

8 months ago

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

7.49%chance

192278

OptionVotes

YES

2535

1094

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.13%chance

431474

OptionVotes

YES

2360

1961

Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term

Jan 29, 6:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

21.28%chance

181404

OptionVotes

YES

1923

520

Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?

Feb 6, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.8%chance

6450

OptionVotes

YES

1205

830

Will Romeu Zema be in the top 2 most voted Brazilian presidential candidates in 2026?

Mar 8, 9:17 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

8.21%chance

7373

OptionVotes

YES

474

AI Progress Trajectory from 2028 to 2033

Mar 8, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7147

OptionProbability

Exponential (similar to 2020 to 2026), indicates some proto-AGI likely in that timeframe

Other

Hyperexponential (indicates push for ASI and some real self improvement loop) singularity / intelligence explosion

Linear (some level of saturation, no AGI imminent)

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Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term

Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?

Will Romeu Zema be in the top 2 most voted Brazilian presidential candidates in 2026?

AI Progress Trajectory from 2028 to 2033

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