Mohammed News
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Prediction markets for Mohammed
OptionProbability
94
80
70
64
56
43
33
32
25
22
17
16
15
14
12
12
11
10
10
9
7
7
7
7
7
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11862202
OptionProbability
100
100
46
25
23
18
17
16
15
14
14
13
13
12
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
55
29
5
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.
Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3%chance
101641
OptionVotes
568
18
OptionProbability
74
8
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
0
OptionVotes
995
10
OptionProbability
57
11
9
8
8
6
OptionProbability
46
25
12
7
6
3
1
Will Iraqi Prime Minister be re-elected this year? (Prime minster is Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani)
Sep 14, 3:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
31.25%chance
12414
OptionVotes
148
67
Conditional upon an invasion of Niger, will Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum be restored to de facto control of Niger?
Aug 4, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
33.49%chance
9267
OptionVotes
286
149
Will Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) cease to be de facto leader of Saudi Arabia before 2030?
Nov 7, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.77%chance
7235
OptionVotes
292
79
OptionProbability
46
23
9
9
7
6
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