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Morris News

    Prediction markets for Morris

    Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

    Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    38680272

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Other

    Jensen Huang

    Larry Page

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Bezos

    Larry Ellison

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Bernard Arnault

    Satoshi Nakamoto

    Sergey Brin

    Masayoshi Son

    Donald Trump

    Michael Saylor

    Bill Gates

    Warren Buffett

    me

    Steve Ballmer

    Gautam Adani

    Mukesh Ambani

    An AGI

    Brian Armstrong

    Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

    Tim Draper

    Jack Dorsey

    Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

    @Mira

    Vladimir Putin

    Michael Dell

    Amancio Ortega

    Carlos Slim Helu

    Vitalik Buterin

    Eric Schmidt

    Dave Tepper

    Ken Griffin

    Eduardo Saverin

    Morris Chang

    45

    25

    7

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

    Nov 27, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3627620

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Robert Caro

    Ajeya Cotra

    David Reich

    Noam Brown

    Jensen Huang

    Dylan Patel (as guest)

    Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

    roon

    Jack Clark

    Yann LeCun

    Sarah Paine

    Nicholas Carlini

    Sundar Pichai

    Dean Spears

    Ilya Sutskever

    Joscha Bach

    Paul J Werbos

    Dean Ball

    Michael Dell

    Nick Bostrom

    Hans Moravec

    Demis Hassabis

    Satya Nadella

    Holden Karnofsky

    Sam Altman

    Matt Levine

    Jeff Bezos

    Michael Levin

    Amanda Askell

    Daniel Kokotajlo

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Ian Morris

    Mira Murati

    Mustafa Suleyman

    Alec Radford

    Joe Carlsmith

    Carl Shulman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Dan Hendrycks

    Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Andrej Karpathy

    George Hotz

    Barack Obama

    Bill Gates

    Tanner Greer

    Tamay Besiroglu

    Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

    Doris Taylor

    Janus @repligate

    Scott Alexander

    Gary Marcus

    François Chollet

    Donald Trump

    Nate Soares

    Helen Toner

    Kamala Harris

    Bill Clinton

    Joe Henrich

    Tyler Cowen

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    24

    19

    19

    18

    18

    18

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

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    12

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    11

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

    Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM
    24.36%chance
    2025690

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    10819

    3069

    OptionProbability

    Micron Technology (MU)

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

    Chevron (CVX)

    ExxonMobil (XOM)

    Merck & Co. (MRK)

    Apple (AAPL)

    Applied Materials (AMAT)

    Coca-Cola (KO)

    Cisco (CSCO)

    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

    Philip Morris (PM)

    Costco (COST)

    Alphabet Class C (GOOG)

    Lam Research (LRCX)

    UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

    Amazon (AMZN)

    Walmart (WMT)

    Citigroup (C)

    Alphabet Class A (GOOGL)

    Broadcom (AVGO)

    Nvidia (NVDA)

    Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

    Procter & Gamble (PG)

    Morgan Stanley (MS)

    Microsoft (MSFT)

    Meta Platforms (META)

    Caterpillar (CAT)

    Eli Lilly (LLY)

    Goldman Sachs (GS)

    Visa (V)

    AbbVie (ABBV)

    JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

    Bank of America (BAC)

    RTX Corporation (RTX)

    GE Aerospace (GE)

    Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

    Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

    Mastercard (MA)

    Salesforce (CRM)

    Home Depot (HD)

    IBM (IBM)

    Tesla (TSLA)

    T-Mobile US (TMUS)

    Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

    Wells Fargo (WFC)

    Oracle (ORCL)

    American Express (AXP)

    Netflix (NFLX)

    McDonald's (MCD)

    AppLovin (APP)

    99

    97

    93

    92

    91

    88

    88

    87

    84

    83

    81

    79

    75

    75

    72

    59

    49

    48

    43

    41

    40

    39

    39

    39

    38

    38

    37

    36

    34

    31

    30

    28

    26

    24

    23

    23

    20

    20

    18

    12

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    3

    Manifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Peak Success

    Mar 11, 7:48 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
    85847

    OptionProbability

    Mike Macdonald - Seattle Seahawks

    Kyle Shanahan - San Francisco 49ers

    Mike Vrabel - New England Patriots

    Zac Taylor - Cincinnati Bengals

    Dan Campbell - Detroit Lions

    Sean Payton - Denver Broncos

    Matt LaFleur - Green Bay Packers

    Sean McDermott - Buffalo Bills

    Dan Quinn - Washington Commanders

    John Harbaugh - New York Giants

    Ben Johnson - Chicago Bears

    Jim Harbaugh - Los Angeles Chargers

    Kevin O'Connell - Minnesota Vikings

    Joe Brady - Buffalo Bills

    Jesse Minter - Baltimore Ravens

    Mike McCarthy - Pittsburgh Steelers

    Liam Coen - Jacksonville Jaguars

    Kellen Moore - New Orleans Saints

    Brian Schottenheimer - Dallas Cowboys

    DeMeco Ryans - Houston Texans

    Shane Steichen - Indianapolis Colts

    Todd Bowles - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Kevin Stefanski - Atlanta Falcons

    Jeff Hafley - Miami Dolphins

    Robert Saleh - Tennessee Titans

    Klint Kubiak - Las Vegas Raiders

    Mike LaFleur - Arizona Cardinals

    Dave Canales - Carolina Panthers

    Kevin Stefanski - Cleveland Browns

    Brian Daboll - New York Giants

    Todd Monken - Cleveland Browns

    Aaron Glenn - New York Jets - Duplicate

    Mike McDaniel - Miami Dolphins

    Aaron Glenn - New York Jets

    Jonathan Gannon - Arizona Cardinals

    Atlanta Falcons - Raheem Morris

    Pete Carroll - Las Vegas Raiders

    Brian Callahan - Tennessee Titans

    100

    82

    81

    80

    67

    66

    62

    60

    60

    57

    55

    55

    55

    55

    55

    50

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    41

    40

    40

    39

    25

    20

    12

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Mike Pompeo

    Rex Tillerson

    Pete Buttigieg

    Nate Morris

    Ivanka Trumo

    87

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    Which players will win the 2026 Internet Invitational?

    Oct 22, 10:52 PMNov 12, 5:59 PM
    61846

    OptionProbability

    Big John

    Micah Morris

    Ryan Ruffels

    Grant Horvat

    Marissa Wentzler

    Paige Spiranac

    Fat Perez

    Bubbie

    Jake Adams

    Riggs

    Justin Gaethje

    Ryan Whitney

    Bobby Ray

    Salim

    Jon Gruden

    The Duke

    Frankie Borrelli

    Callux

    Tyler Toney

    Bobby Berger

    Kyle Forgeard

    Jersey Jerry

    Hailey Rose Ostrom

    Brad Dalke

    Paul 'Biz' Bissonnette

    The Jet

    Cheddy

    Josh Kelley

    George Bryan

    Garrett Clark

    Sam Heung Min

    Seb Michael-Brown

    Martin Borgmeier

    Cassandra Marie

    Johnny Manziel

    Trent Ryan

    Sabrina Andolpho

    Short Game King

    Joey Cold Cuts

    Josh Richards

    Chaz

    Wesley Bryan

    PFT Commenter

    Peter Finch

    Taco

    Roger Steele

    Cole Lantz

    Sara Winter

    Mac Boucher

    Malosi

    Evan Thompson

    Andrew Santino

    Tisha Alyn

    DOD King

    Francis Ellis

    Keith Yandle

    Jason Williams

    Luke Kwon

    Mason Nutt

    Rick Shiels

    Daltoosh

    Tooms

    Claire Hogle

    Karol Priscilla

    37

    32

    29

    29

    28

    27

    26

    26

    25

    25

    25

    23

    23

    23

    22

    19

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    359

    64

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1091

    949

    Will Morris Chang live longer than Warren Buffett?

    Nov 10, 8:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    60.15%chance
    212

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    82

    60

    OptionProbability

    Rand Paul

    Other

    Nate Morris

    60

    33

    7

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