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Mullin News

    Prediction markets for Mullin

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Marco Rubio

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Josh Hawley

    Jon Ossoff

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Mark Kelly

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Glenn Youngkin

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Ron DeSantis

    Wes Moore

    Nikki Haley

    Elise Stefanik

    Mark Cuban

    Stephen Miller

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    J. B. Pritzker

    Cory Booker

    Raphael Warnock

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Tammy Duckworth

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Chris Sununu

    Jeff Jackson

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Tim Scott

    Brian Kemp

    Kristi Noem

    Beto O'Rourke

    John Fetterman

    Tom Cotton

    Brian Schatz

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Tammy Baldwin

    Kevin Stitt

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Joe Rogan

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Jared Polis

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Katie Hobbs

    Spencer Cox

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    Erika Kirk

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Tucker Carlson

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andrew Yang

    Stephen Colbert

    Stephen Curry

    Markwayne Mullin

    Rand Paul

    Joe Manchin

    Maura Healey

    Ivanka Trump

    David Hogg

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Marianne Williamson

    Ezra Klein

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Mike Pence

    Jon Stewart

    DUPLICATE

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Sam Altman

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Al Gore

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    41

    22

    18

    17

    16

    13

    13

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be the next Secretary of Homeland Security?

    Jan 30, 1:26 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
    4220856

    OptionProbability

    Markwayne Mullin

    Tom Homan

    Other

    Kristi Noem remains in the role until 20 Jan 2029

    Glenn Youngkin

    Ron Desantis

    Jason Chaffetz

    Lee Zeldin

    Stephen Miller

    97

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Marco Rubio

    Nikki Haley

    Glenn Youngkin

    Ron DeSantis

    Ted Cruz

    Tucker Carlson

    Pete Hegseth

    Josh Hawley

    Brian Kemp

    Doug Burgum

    Will Hurd

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Tom Cotton

    Rick Scott

    Todd Young

    Joni Ernst

    Markwayne Mullin

    Chris Sununu

    Elise Stefanik

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Franciz Suarez

    Mike Johnson

    Greg Abbott

    Byron Donalds

    Chris Christie

    Rand Paul

    Kristi Noem

    Mike Lee

    Kim Reynolds

    Dan Crenshaw

    Katie Britt

    Tim Scott

    Mike Pence

    Donald Trump

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Mike Pompeo

    Liz Cheney

    Matt Gaetz

    77

    39

    33

    23

    14

    13

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    4

    3

    Will another Trump cabinet member be fired before April 2026?

    Mar 5, 10:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
    9.95%chance
    111572

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    301

    33

    OptionProbability

    At least 1

    At least 2

    At least 3

    At least 4

    At least 5

    0

    At least 6

    At least 7

    At least 8

    At least 9

    At least 10

    83

    79

    57

    36

    25

    23

    12

    10

    8

    7

    5

    Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary?

    Mar 15, 3:12 AMDec 31, 2:12 AM
    2.16%chance
    41083

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1257

    15

    Who will vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin?

    Mar 5, 11:38 PMApr 8, 11:30 PM
    6747

    OptionProbability

    Thom Tillis (R-NC)

    John Fetterman (D-PA)

    Susan Collins (R-ME)

    Martin Heinrich (D-NM)

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Mitch McConnell (R-KY)

    Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)

    Angus King (I-ME)

    Maggie Hassan (D-NH)

    Rand Paul (R-KY)

    91

    91

    66

    66

    59

    58

    34

    29

    25

    4

    OptionProbability

    Cameron Boozer

    Darryn Peterson

    AJ Dybantsa

    Kingston Flemings

    Caleb Wilson

    Darius Acuff Jr.

    Keaton Wagler

    Hannes Steinbach

    Nate Ament

    Mikel Brown Jr.

    Brayden Burries

    Labaron Philon

    Jayden Quaintance

    Braylon Mullins

    Chris Cenac Jr.

    Koa Peat

    Amari Allen

    Killyan Toure

    80

    76

    76

    70

    69

    36

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?

    Mar 20, 5:04 AMJan 19, 12:00 AM
    46.75%chance
    10386

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1160

    834

    Will Donald Trump announce a new cabinet member before 1 July 2026?

    Mar 13, 11:36 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
    85.57%chance
    7195

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    244

    41

    OptionProbability

    Stephanie Bice

    Kevin Hern

    The Field/Other

    T.W. Shannon

    The "Placeholder" Appointee

    32

    27

    27

    7

    7

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