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Murkowski News

    Prediction markets for Murkowski

    Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

    Mar 27, 1:20 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
    387136550

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Hawley

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Glenn Youngkin

    Tucker Carlson

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Marco Rubio

    J. B. Pritzker

    Mark Kelly

    James Talarico

    Ron DeSantis

    Elise Stefanik

    Wes Moore

    Stephen Miller

    Nikki Haley

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Raphael Warnock

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Tammy Duckworth

    Chris Sununu

    Jeff Jackson

    Donald Trump Jr.

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Sam Altman

    Tim Scott

    Brian Kemp

    Kristi Noem

    Cory Booker

    Beto O'Rourke

    John Fetterman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Tom Cotton

    Brian Schatz

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Tammy Baldwin

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Joe Rogan

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Jared Polis

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Katie Hobbs

    Spencer Cox

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    Mark Cuban

    Erika Kirk

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andrew Yang

    Ezra Klein

    Stephen Colbert

    Stephen Curry

    Markwayne Mullin

    Rand Paul

    Joe Manchin

    Kevin Stitt

    Maura Healey

    Ivanka Trump

    David Hogg

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Marianne Williamson

    Mike Pence

    Jon Stewart

    DUPLICATE

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Al Gore

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    35

    18

    18

    15

    13

    12

    12

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which 2028 US Senate elections will a Democrat win?

    Sep 7, 12:16 AMNov 8, 12:00 AM
    93386

    OptionProbability

    California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)

    Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)

    Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)

    Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)

    Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)

    New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)

    Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)

    Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)

    Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)

    Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)

    New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)

    Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)

    Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)

    Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)

    Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)

    Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)

    North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)

    Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)

    Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)

    Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)

    Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)

    South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)

    Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)

    Utah (Incumbent - (R) Mike Lee)

    Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)

    Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)

    Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)

    Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)

    Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)

    South Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Thune)

    Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)

    Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)

    North Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Hoeven)

    Oklahoma (Incumbent - (R) James Lankford)

    96

    92

    92

    90

    90

    90

    90

    90

    89

    87

    85

    76

    75

    67

    67

    65

    59

    47

    35

    34

    28

    28

    27

    21

    20

    19

    12

    12

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?

    Nov 25, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:58 PM
    25%chance
    482856

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    275

    83

    How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?

    Mar 30, 6:09 PMJan 2, 1:29 PM
    321645

    OptionProbability

    At least 1

    At least 2

    At least 3

    At least 4

    At least 5

    At least 6

    0

    At least 7

    At least 8

    At least 9

    At least 10

    90

    79

    57

    36

    25

    12

    11

    10

    8

    7

    5

    Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican Party before 2029?

    Mar 24, 5:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    31.88%chance
    261190

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1312

    812

    Who will these anti trump republicans endorse/vote for in 2028? DEM=YES GOP=NO

    Dec 21, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    8817

    OptionProbability

    Joe Scarborough

    Liz Cheney

    John Bolton

    James Comey

    Susan Collins

    Mitt Romney

    Chris Christie

    Jeb Bush

    Lisa Murkowski

    Mike Pence

    83

    79

    74

    66

    53

    47

    44

    34

    33

    23

    Which US Senators will run for re-election in 2028?

    Sep 24, 7:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3411

    OptionProbability

    Ted Budd (R-NC)

    Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)

    John Hoeven (R-ND)

    Brian Schatz (D-HI)

    Tim Scott (R- SC)

    Mike Lee (R-UT)

    Jerry Moran (R-KS)

    Raphael Warnock (D-GA)

    Katie Britt (R-AL)

    John Thune (R-IA)

    Ron Wyden (D-OR)

    John Boozman (R-AR)

    Mike Crapo (R-ID)

    Tammy Duckworth (D-IL)

    Maggie Hassan (D-NH)

    John Kennedy (R-LA)

    Ron Johnson (R-WI)

    Mark Kelly (D-AZ)

    James Lankford (R-OK)

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Patty Murray (D-WA)

    Alex Padilla (D-CA)

    Rand Paul (R-KY)

    Eric Schmitt (R-MO)

    Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)

    Peter Welch (D-VT)

    Todd Young (R-IN)

    TBD (?-OK)

    TBD (?-FL)

    Michael Bennet (D-CO)

    Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)

    John Fetterman (D-PA)

    Chuck Schumer (D-NY)

    Chuck Grassley (R-IA)

    78

    78

    77

    76

    76

    74

    74

    74

    70

    70

    67

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    62

    56

    46

    46

    41

    Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?

    Aug 12, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:58 PM
    20.62%chance
    9256

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    177

    68

    Will OOI Ocean Station Papa (OWSP) survive eoy2028

    Jun 2, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    75.38%chance
    3101

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    175

    57

    Who will finish first in the 2028 top-four primary for U.S. Senate in Alaska?

    Nov 5, 11:17 PMAug 16, 12:00 PM
    150

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Lisa Murkowski

    Mike Dunleavy

    42

    40

    18

    Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2028 US Senate election in Alaska?

    Sep 7, 6:56 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
    55%chance
    00

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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