OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Gretchen Whitmer
Andy Beshear
J.B. Pritzker
Cory Booker
Tim Walz
Wes Moore
Mark Cuban
Raphael Warnock
Jon Ossoff
Ro Khanna
Ruben Gallego
None
John Fetterman
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jeff Jackson
Jared Polis
Michelle Obama
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Roy Cooper
Dianne Feinstein
Jimmy Carter
Chuck Schumer
Tim Kaine
Bernie Sanders
Tammy Duckworth
Mark Kelly
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Elizabeth Warren
Michael Bloomberg
Dwayne Johnson
[Duplicate - Invalid]
Hakeem Jeffries
Andrew Yang
Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II
Dean Phillips
Bob Ferguson
Jay Inslee
Kathy Hochul
Anthony Blinken
Susan Rice
Scott Wiener
Donald Trump
Sam Altman
Jeff Merkley
Merrick Garland
Taylor Swift
Tammy Baldwin
Katie Porter
Phil Murphy
Cenk Uygur
Jamie Raskin
Joe Manchin
Sherrod Brown
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
John Bel Edwards
Clark Duke
Stacey Abrams
Nina Turner
john smith
Jon Stewart
Duplicate ignore
Gina Raimondo
Ron Desantis
Beto O'Rourke
Vermin Supreme
Hunter Biden
Invalid answer
John Jacob
Alex Jones
Bob Roberston the IV
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Stephen A Smith
16
16
12
11
10
6
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J.D. Vance
Other
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ron DeSantis
Jon Ossoff
Vivek Ramaswamy
Amy Klobuchar
Gretchen Whitmer
No 2028 Election
Elizabeth Warren
Cory Booker
Tucker Carlson
Mark Cuban
Andy Beshear
Tim Walz
Donald Trump Jr
JB Pritzker
Tulsi Gabbard
Josh Hawley
Rahm Emmanuel
Joe Rogan
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson
Ted Cruz
Kanye West
Hunter Biden
Mike Pence
Raphael Warnock
Jared Polis
Mark Kelly
Bernie Sanders
Greg Abbott
Nikki Haley
Stacey Abrams
Glenn Youngkin
Roy Cooper
Tim Scott
Mitch Landrieu
Michelle Lujan Grisham
Ruben Gallego
Katie Porter
Joe Biden
Ration L. Ussy
Wes Moore
RFK Jr.
Tetraspace
Lina Khan
Shawn Fain
Elon Musk
Ritchie Torres
Taylor Swift
Barack Obama
Chris Murphy
Stephen A. Smith
Mickey Mouse
Ivanka Trump
Barron Trump
Laura Loomer
Abigail Spanberger
Sam Altman
John Fetterman
Ro Khanna
Al Gore
Kathy Hochul
[deleted]
Ezra Klein
Tim Kaine
invalid
Brian Kemp
David McCormick
Andrew Yang
Anna Paulina Luna
Amaryllis Fox
AI Overlord
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Mike Johnson
Steven Bonell (Destiny)
Jamie Dimon
Abrego Garcia
Andrew Cuomo
Chris Van Hollen
Invalid
invalid
Deval Patrick
Jasmine Crockett
Oprah Winfrey
Michelle Obama
Sheldon Whitehouse
Robert Prevost
Harambe
Josh Stein
Jeff Jackson
Rand Paul
Elissa Slotkin
26
16
9
7
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J. D. Vance
Josh Shapiro
Marco Rubio
Gavin Newsom
Gretchen Whitmer
Tulsi Gabbard
Pete Buttigieg
J. B. Pritzker
Jeff Jackson
Jon Ossoff
Josh Hawley
KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Glenn Youngkin
Elise Stefanik
Donald Trump Jr.
Nikki Haley
Ron DeSantis
Wes Moore
Andy Beshear
Kamala Harris
Brian Kemp
Amy Klobuchar
Cory Booker
Gina Raimondo
Ro Khanna
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
Tammy Duckworth
Tammy Baldwin
Chris Sununu
Katie Hobbs
Josh Green
Tina Kotek
Vivek Ramaswamy
Ted Cruz
Kristi Noem
Raphael Warnock
Jared Polis
Tom Cotton
Joni Ernst
Michael Bennet
Catherine Cortez Masto
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Kevin Stitt
Spencer Cox
Tim Walz
Ivanka Trump
Mark Cuban
Stephen Miller
James Donaldson (MrBeast)
Tim Scott
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
Andrew Yang
Beto O'Rourke
Mark Kelly
Jay Inslee
Deval Patrick
Eric Swalwell
Wayne Messam
Kirsten Gillibrand
Julian Castro
Dean Phillips
Katie Britt
Laphonza Butler
Eric Schmitt
Mike Lee
Chris Coons
Tim Kaine
Lisa Murkowski
Tate Reeves
Ruben Gallego
David Hogg
Will Hurd
Dan Crenshaw
John Fetterman
Mark Zuckerberg
Stephen Curry
Rand Paul
Taylor Swift
Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)
Matt Gaetz
Joe Rogan
Marianne Williamson
Ezra Klein
Mike Pence
Stephen Colbert
Markwayne Mullin
Joe Manchin
Maura Healey
Al Gore
DUPLICATE
Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
Scott Alexander
Sam Altman
Tucker Carlson
Zendaya
Michelle Obama
Kanye West
Mitt Romney
Sarah Palin
Jon Stewart
Ben Shapiro
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)
Me
Krantz (the user @Krantz)
41
25
19
17
14
14
14
13
12
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
Car chase scene
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Bond tells ≥1 joke
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
Bond drinks a martini
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Sex scene
World capital other than London appears on screen
Hacking electronics of some form
Q appears
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Someone in the movie says the title
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
The main theme song will be sung by a female
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
At least a portion filmed in Canada
A scene shows James Bond naked
Blue-eyed Bond
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Death of a Bond love interest
Bond gets slapped
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
Prison/jail scene
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Black market trafficking
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond drives a boat
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Nazis (neo- counts)
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Oral sex
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Desert scene
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond has facial hair
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Bond wears a mask
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond will be in a submarine
Bond goes to space
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
Mexico is shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
An EMP device plays a central role.
At least one named character below 18 years old
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Canada is shown on screen
Sharks
Orgy
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
Will feature something that can turn invisible
A pinball machine will appear.
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Underwater combat
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Bond is blond
Pirates
Assplay
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond won't be Caucasian
A hamburger appears on screen
Bond uses a VR headset
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Bond has a neck tattoo
Nuclear explosion
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
Bond plays Russian roulette
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Gay sex scene
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Any character says the word "anime"
Vampires
Bond vapes
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
The fourth wall is broken
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
98
97
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
90
90
87
86
85
85
84
84
83
83
82
82
81
80
77
76
75
72
70
70
69
69
69
68
68
67
66
65
65
62
62
60
58
57
57
56
56
55
55
55
54
54
54
54
53
53
53
52
51
51
50
50
49
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
47
46
46
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
40
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
33
33
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Jack Lowden
Other
Harris Dickinson
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Jacob Elordi
Tom Holland
Henry Cavill
Theo James
Tom Hiddleston
Regé-Jean Page
Damson Idris
James Norton
Richard Madden
Tom Hardy
Idris Elba
Robert Pattinson
Paul Mescal
Callum Turner
Aidan Turner
Luke Evans
Timothé Chalamet
Taron Egerton
Cillian Murphy
Lashana Lynch
Sam Heughan
Dev Patel
Daryl McCormack
Paapa Essiedu
Tom Cruise
Brad Pitt
George Clooney
Matt Damon
Kingsley Ben-Adir
Sam Claflin
John Boyega
Pierce Brosnan
Sope Dirisu
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Robert Aramayo
Liam Hemsworth
Andrew Garfield
Will Poulter
Nicholas Hoult
Miles Teller
Tom Hopper
Lucien Laviscount
Harry Styles
Eliezer Yudkowsky
25
15
13
8
6
6
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Ilia Topuria
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Movsar Evloev
Malcolm Wellmaker
Jacobe Smith
Azamat Murzakanov
Navajo Stirling
Michael Morales
Andre Lima
Aliaskhab Khizriev
Lerone Murphy
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Torrez Finney
Rafael Estevam
Mario Pinto
Nurullo Aliev
Hyun Sung Park
Farid Basharat
Khamzat Chimaev
Tallison Teixeira
Ian Machado Garry
Bo Nickal
Umar Nurmagomedov
Tatsuro Taira
Muhammad Mokaev
Sharaputdin Magomedov
Payton Talbott
Danny Barlow
Jhonata Diniz
Stewart Nicoll
Clayton Carpenter
Jean Matsumoto
Oumar Sy
Wang Cong
Raffael Cerqueira
Daniel Marcos
Tatiana Suarez
Rei Tsuruya
Mick Parkin
Hyder Amil
Diyar Nurgozhay
92
86
79
76
76
69
66
63
63
60
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
39
36
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Other
Jack Lowden
Harris Dickinson
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Jacob Elordi
Theo James
Henry Cavill
James Norton
Tom Holland
Aaron Pierre
Paddy Gibson
Damson Idris
Tom Hardy
Daryl McCormack
Sam Claflin
Paapa Essiedu
Robert Pattinson
Regé-Jean Page
Cillian Murphy
Charlie Hunnam
Dev Patel
27
23
13
9
7
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
JB Pritzker
Gretchen Whitmer
Andy Beshear
Jared Polis
Tim Walz
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Kamala Harris
Chris Van Hollen
Raphael Warnock
Cory Booker
Ro Khanna
Chris Murphy
Stephen A. Smith
Dean Phillips
Angus King Jr.
Roy Cooper
Jay Inslee
Gina Raimondo
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Wes Moore
John Fetterman
Bernie Sanders
Chuck Norris
Joe Biden
Michelle Obama
Hillary Clinton
Zohran Mamdani
82
75
71
68
62
60
47
46
44
41
37
34
34
33
33
29
22
22
17
16
15
13
13
12
11
5
3
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Other
Jack Lowden
Harris Dickinson
Tom Holland
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Jacob Elordi
Theo James
Henry Cavil
Idris Elba
Tom Hardy
Tom Hiddleston
Cillian Murphy
Paul Mescal
Pierce Brosnan
30
26
13
9
8
8
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Adaptation of the “Odyssey”
Summer release date
Male main character
2026 release date
Shot on IMAX 70mm film
Nolan also credited as a writer and producer
Emma Thomas producing
Rotten Tomatoes critic score >80% two weeks after release
Longer than 2hrs 30mins runtime
Involves the manipulation of the time or of the perception of time (e.g., time moving slower in dreams, non-chronological scenes in Memento to emulate amnesia, the whole plots of Interstellar and Tenet)
Nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars
Has a run time over 2.5 hours
Rotten Tomatoes critic score >90% two weeks after release
Scored by Hans Zimmer
Passes the bechdel test
Rotten tomatoes audience score greater than critics score two weeks after release
Based on a historical figure or event
Makes $1B at the global box office on initial release
Cillian Murphy will be in the cast
Michael Caine will be in the cast
Prequel or Sequel
Tom Holland plays the main character
2025 release date
True story
Protagonist uses a gun
Will be a Bond film
Adaptation of "The Prisoner"
97
96
95
95
94
92
90
90
88
75
68
66
56
45
41
41
40
30
25
10
10
9
4
4
4
3
3
OptionProbability
Jack Lowden
Other
Harris Dickinson
Nicholas Hoult
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Tom Holland
Jacob Elordi
Henry Cavill
Theo James
James Norton
Aaron Pierre
Callum Turner
Sam C. Wilson
Scott Rose-Marsh
Tom Hardy
Cillian Murphy
Michael Fassbender
Tom Hiddleston
Josh O‘Connor
23
17
15
9
8
8
6
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Aliashkhab Khizriev
Ilia Topuria
Mario Pinto
Nurullo Aliev
Azamat Murzakanov
Farid Basharat
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Movsar Evloev
Michael Morales
Lerone Murphy
Rafael Ramos Estevam
Jacobe Smith
Hyun Sung Park
Khamzat Chimaev
Andre Lima
Torrez Finney
73
59
55
55
50
50
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
41
41