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Murphy News

Trump Draws Fire After Alaska Summit With Putin Produces No Ukraine Cease-Fire

Russia

War

US Foreign Policy

Trump Draws Fire After Alaska Summit With Putin Produces No Ukraine Cease-Fire

4 months ago

Culture

Netflix Sets Oct. 3 Debut for Ryan Murphy’s ‘Monster: The Ed Gein Story’

3 months ago

Boston

Tech

United States

Boston Councilors Seek Probe After 30-Minute Police Radio Failure

4 months ago

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM

17201771087

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Jon Ossoff

J.B. Pritzker

Gretchen Whitmer

Mark Kelly

Andy Beshear

Ruben Gallego

Michelle Obama

Raphael Warnock

Cory Booker

Tim Walz

Wes Moore

Mark Cuban

None

John Fetterman

Hillary Clinton

Joe Biden

Jeff Jackson

Jared Polis

Amy Klobuchar

Mitch Landrieu

Roy Cooper

Dianne Feinstein

Jimmy Carter

Chuck Schumer

Tim Kaine

Bernie Sanders

Tammy Duckworth

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Elizabeth Warren

Michael Bloomberg

Dwayne Johnson

[Duplicate - Invalid]

Hakeem Jeffries

Andrew Yang

Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

Dean Phillips

Bob Ferguson

Jay Inslee

Kathy Hochul

Ro Khanna

Anthony Blinken

Susan Rice

Scott Wiener

Donald Trump

Sam Altman

Jeff Merkley

Merrick Garland

Taylor Swift

Tammy Baldwin

Katie Porter

Phil Murphy

Cenk Uygur

Jamie Raskin

Joe Manchin

Sherrod Brown

Chris Murphy

Brian Schatz

John Bel Edwards

Clark Duke

Stacey Abrams

Nina Turner

john smith

Jon Stewart

Duplicate ignore

Gina Raimondo

Ron Desantis

Beto O'Rourke

Vermin Supreme

Hunter Biden

Invalid answer

John Jacob

Alex Jones

Bob Roberston the IV

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Stephen A Smith

Who will be elected president in 2028?

Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

17501302565

OptionProbability

J.D. Vance

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

No 2028 Election

Josh Shapiro

Jon Ossoff

AI Overlord

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Donald Trump Jr

JB Pritzker

Ivanka Trump

Barron Trump

Abigail Spanberger

Ro Khanna

Rahm Emmanuel

Brian Kemp

Michelle Obama

Ron DeSantis

Joe Rogan

Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

Ted Cruz

Amy Klobuchar

Kanye West

Hunter Biden

Mike Pence

Raphael Warnock

Jared Polis

Gretchen Whitmer

Mark Kelly

Bernie Sanders

Greg Abbott

Nikki Haley

Stacey Abrams

Glenn Youngkin

Elizabeth Warren

Cory Booker

Roy Cooper

Tim Scott

Mitch Landrieu

Michelle Lujan Grisham

Ruben Gallego

Katie Porter

Joe Biden

Tucker Carlson

Ration L. Ussy

Wes Moore

Mark Cuban

RFK Jr.

Tetraspace

Lina Khan

Shawn Fain

Elon Musk

Ritchie Torres

Taylor Swift

Barack Obama

Chris Murphy

Stephen A. Smith

Mickey Mouse

Laura Loomer

Sam Altman

John Fetterman

Tulsi Gabbard

Al Gore

Kathy Hochul

[deleted]

Josh Hawley

Ezra Klein

Tim Kaine

invalid

David McCormick

Andrew Yang

Anna Paulina Luna

Amaryllis Fox

Duplicate - Will Resolve No

Mike Johnson

Steven Bonell (Destiny)

Jamie Dimon

Abrego Garcia

Andrew Cuomo

Chris Van Hollen

Invalid

invalid

Deval Patrick

Jasmine Crockett

Oprah Winfrey

Sheldon Whitehouse

Robert Prevost

Harambe

Josh Stein

Jeff Jackson

Rand Paul

Vivek Ramaswamy

Elissa Slotkin

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

Mar 27, 1:20 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

372127432

OptionProbability

J. D. Vance

Josh Shapiro

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Pete Buttigieg

J. B. Pritzker

Gretchen Whitmer

Josh Hawley

KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Glenn Youngkin

Jon Ossoff

Jeff Jackson

Ron DeSantis

Wes Moore

Andy Beshear

Nikki Haley

Elise Stefanik

Cory Booker

Spencer Cox

Donald Trump Jr.

Brian Kemp

Amy Klobuchar

Gina Raimondo

Ro Khanna

Chris Murphy

Brian Schatz

Tammy Duckworth

Chris Sununu

Katie Hobbs

Josh Green

Tina Kotek

Mark Cuban

Vivek Ramaswamy

Ted Cruz

Kristi Noem

Raphael Warnock

Jared Polis

Tom Cotton

Joni Ernst

Michael Bennet

Catherine Cortez Masto

Tammy Baldwin

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Kevin Stitt

Tate Reeves

Tim Walz

Ivanka Trump

Stephen Miller

Erika Kirk

James Donaldson (MrBeast)

Tim Scott

Joe Rogan

Robert F. Kennedy Jr

Andrew Yang

Beto O'Rourke

Mark Kelly

Jay Inslee

Deval Patrick

Eric Swalwell

Wayne Messam

Kirsten Gillibrand

Julian Castro

Dean Phillips

Katie Britt

Laphonza Butler

Eric Schmitt

Mike Lee

Chris Coons

Tim Kaine

Lisa Murkowski

Ruben Gallego

David Hogg

Kamala Harris

Will Hurd

Tulsi Gabbard

Dan Crenshaw

John Fetterman

Mark Zuckerberg

Stephen Curry

Markwayne Mullin

Rand Paul

Maura Healey

Taylor Swift

Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

Tucker Carlson

Matt Gaetz

Marianne Williamson

Ezra Klein

Mike Pence

Mitt Romney

Stephen Colbert

Joe Manchin

Al Gore

DUPLICATE

Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

Scott Alexander

Sam Altman

Zendaya

Michelle Obama

Kanye West

Sarah Palin

Jon Stewart

Ben Shapiro

Bernie Sanders

Hillary Clinton

Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

Krantz (the user @Krantz)

Next James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:

Nov 23, 9:13 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

14253194

OptionProbability

Bond will be a man

Gunplay

Bond drives a car

On screen fatalities

London will appear on screen

Urban scene

Bond wears a suit/tuxedo

Car chase scene

Bond tells ≥1 joke

A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.

A named character speaks in a language other than English

Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"

Bond drinks a martini

Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer

Opening action sequence

The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.

Gun Barrel Sequence

Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.

Sex scene

World capital other than London appears on screen

Hacking electronics of some form

Q appears

Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.

Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently

Bond uses explosives

The plot will be predominantly set in present day

Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts

The main theme song will be sung by a female

The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

Fatal-if-missed aerial jump

A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds

Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.

Asia will appear on screen

Someone goes through a pane of glass

A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent

It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die

It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)

The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.

"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned

Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)

Someone in the movie says the title

@HenriThunberg enjoys the film

The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.

South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen

The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.

Bond rides a motorcycle

A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it

>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release

Critics will say it's a return to classic bond

A sniper rifle is fired

At least a portion filmed in Canada

Blue-eyed Bond

There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting

Bond wields a Walther PPK

Interracial sex scene

Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)

Jungle / forest scene

M will be played by Ralph Fiennes

Bond flys an aircraft

James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government

Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.

Casino game scene

>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release

Bond parachutes

It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)

Bond wears shorts

Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present

>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release

Arctic scene

Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing

Bond gets slapped

Prison/jail scene

A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne

Black market trafficking

Someone climbs around on the outside of a building

Released in 2028

Skydiving

The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.

Bond licks something

Bond and a pond shown on screen together

Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)

someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)

Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)

Bond slaps someone

A scene shows James Bond naked

Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall

Death of a Bond love interest

James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.

A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)

Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth

Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)

There will be a voiced character that is an AI

Bond rides a bicycle

Torture

Bond receives a gunshot wound

A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens

Wilhelm scream

The title will refer to life and/or death

@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand

Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack

Bond drives a boat

A safe is cracked (any means possible)

Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)

James Bond plays poker

Bond commits arson

Cryptocurrency is referenced

Oral sex

Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar

Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen

Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time

Terrorists

US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)

Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case

Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.

Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen

A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot

Desert scene

Nazis (neo- counts)

The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)

Ski chase scene

Drug use

Someone/something is x-rayed

Thunderstorm

Dessert scene

An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)

President of the United States is mentioned

IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...

Robots

Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail

It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)

Bond has facial hair

Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick

Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)

There will be a promotional event in Fortnite

Bond wears a mask

Sharks

Cocaine or caviar appears on screen

James Bond plays baccarat

Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses

Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage

Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet

Bond will be in a submarine

Bond goes to space

Bond is LQBTQ+

Bond rides an animal

James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't

Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)

Main villain speaks Russian on screen

Bond has a disability

Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage

Mexico is shown on screen

Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen

Jetpack

The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)

A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)

Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)

An EMP device plays a central role.

Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned

At least one named character below 18 years old

Canada is shown on screen

Orgy

Will feature something that can turn invisible

Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)

Underwater combat

The word "fuck" is said more than once.

With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖

Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)

The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.

Bond is blond

Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone

Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)

A pinball machine will appear.

Pirates

Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift

Assplay

Bond plays Russian roulette

Emilia Clarke portrays a character

Bond won't be Caucasian

A hamburger appears on screen

Bond uses a VR headset

Bond has a neck tattoo

Nuclear explosion

Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine

Satanism

Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond

Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.

fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name

It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.

Gay sex scene

ChatGPT is referenced by any character

Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene

Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)

A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"

Theme song is performed by The Weeknd

San Francisco is shown on screen

Pegging

Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)

Horse cock on screen (flaccid)

Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz

A clocks shows the time 4:20

Feature Nightcore music

Supernatural entities

Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.

There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American

Bond uses chopsticks

Released in 2026

Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)

Any character says the word "anime"

Vampires

Bond vapes

The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.

Bond dies

The fourth wall is broken

Scat play

Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)

Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme

Horse cock on screen (erect)

Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).

The handkerchief code is a major plot element

James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."

Bond is vegan

It will be directed by a woman

Bond plays League of Legends

Destiny appears on screen

Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”

Dragons

Dinosaurs

It will be directed by Christopher Nolan

Bond hits the griddy

Which UFC fighters will both remain undefeated and stay on the UFC roster through 2025?

Jun 17, 2:53 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

3234681

OptionProbability

Ilia Topuria

Khamzat Chimaev

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Movsar Evloev

Lerone Murphy

Azamat Murzakanov

Michael Morales

Farid Basharat

Mario Pinto

Navajo Stirling

Jacobe Smith

Nurullo Aliev

Aliaskhab Khizriev

Andre Lima

Torrez Finney

Rafael Estevam

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Ian Machado Garry

Bo Nickal

Umar Nurmagomedov

Tatsuro Taira

Muhammad Mokaev

Sharaputdin Magomedov

Payton Talbott

Danny Barlow

Jhonata Diniz

Stewart Nicoll

Clayton Carpenter

Jean Matsumoto

Oumar Sy

Wang Cong

Raffael Cerqueira

Daniel Marcos

Tatiana Suarez

Rei Tsuruya

Mick Parkin

Hyder Amil

Diyar Nurgozhay

Tallison Teixeira

Malcolm Wellmaker

Hyun Sung Park

Who will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy)

Oct 20, 6:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6117866

OptionProbability

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Callum Turner

Theo James

Other

Anthony Boyle

Tom Holland

Henry Cavill

Harris Dickinson

Jack Lowden

Jacob Elordi

James Norton

Paddy Gibson

Daryl McCormack

Sam Claflin

Damson Idris

Paapa Essiedu

Robert Pattinson

Regé-Jean Page

Cillian Murphy

Tom Hardy

Charlie Hunnam

Dev Patel

Aaron Pierre

Who will play the next James Bond?

Jan 6, 2:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

426610

OptionProbability

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Other

Callum Turner

Henry Cavil

Jack Lowden

Tom Holland

Theo James

Harris Dickinson

Jacob Elordi

Idris Elba

Tom Hardy

Tom Hiddleston

Cillian Murphy

Paul Mescal

Pierce Brosnan

What will be true about Christopher Nolan’s next film?

Mar 11, 2:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

404109

OptionProbability

Male main character

Adaptation of the “Odyssey”

Summer release date

2026 release date

Nolan also credited as a writer and producer

Emma Thomas producing

Involves the manipulation of the time or of the perception of time (e.g., time moving slower in dreams, non-chronological scenes in Memento to emulate amnesia, the whole plots of Interstellar and Tenet)

Rotten Tomatoes critic score >80% two weeks after release

Shot on IMAX 70mm film

Longer than 2hrs 30mins runtime

Rotten Tomatoes critic score >90% two weeks after release

Nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars

Has a run time over 2.5 hours

Based on a historical figure or event

Scored by Hans Zimmer

Passes the bechdel test

Rotten tomatoes audience score greater than critics score two weeks after release

Makes $1B at the global box office on initial release

Cillian Murphy will be in the cast

Michael Caine will be in the cast

Prequel or Sequel

Tom Holland plays the main character

2025 release date

True story

Protagonist uses a gun

Will be a Bond film

Adaptation of "The Prisoner"

Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?

Mar 9, 4:26 AMJun 2, 4:59 AM

281936

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Jon Ossoff

Ro Khanna

Ruben Gallego

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JB Pritzker

Tim Walz

Andy Beshear

Raphael Warnock

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Chris Murphy

Amy Klobuchar

Roy Cooper

Cory Booker

Stephen A. Smith

Which UFC fighters will remain undefeated through 2026?

Jun 29, 1:28 AMJan 14, 12:04 PM

81451

OptionProbability

Azamat Murzakanov

Ilia Topuria

Aliashkhab Khizriev

Khamzat Chimaev

Mario Pinto

Nurullo Aliev

Farid Basharat

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Michael Morales

Rafael Ramos Estevam

Jacobe Smith

Andre Lima

Torrez Finney

Movsar Evloev

Lerone Murphy

Hyun Sung Park

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

Next Senate Democratic Leader

Dec 4, 10:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

676

OptionProbability

Chris Van Hollen

Other

Brian Schatz

Chris Murphy

Martin Heinrich