Nicola News

Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days

Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel

Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns

Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit

Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)

A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes

DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement

≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)

Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS

World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated

United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela

At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed

Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)

India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore

A new cease-fire between Iran and United States OR Israel is declared post Feb 28, 2026

United States troops enter Iran

Donald Trump and Iran work out a "deal" to cease hostilities (even temporarily)

Benjamin Netanyahu alive as of April 30, 2026

Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)

Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council

Donald Trump remains President of USA

Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party

Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia

Claudia Sheinbaum remains President of Mexico

USA and Iran agree to a new cease fire post April 10, 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba

Iran and Israel agree to a Cease Fire

An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours

Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire

Russian-Ukraine War continues through end of 2026 with no Cease-fire or Peace Agreement

A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country

A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump

Hostile military action by United States against Cuba

123

Iran-Israel War continues through end of 2026 with no Cease-fire or Peace Agreement

The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024

1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI

A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)

Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS

Algeria becomes a member of BRICS

A country declares war on Israel

North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test

A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)

Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran

At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti

Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov

Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room

A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed

China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace

Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa

Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe

Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths

Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela

Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack

Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations

An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period

Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon

North Korea provides missile(s) to Iran

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States

At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series

Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Successful military coup in Venezuela

Any NATO country formally declares war on another country

Oil prices reach $150 USD a barrel

Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated

Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government

A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days

Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS

Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235

A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz

Iran undergoes a regime change

Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test

Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Mexico becomes a member of BRICS

North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths

Egypt formally declares war on another country

Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel

A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved

An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period

Iran loses territory

Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS

United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"

China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash

A leader of a country is tried and executed by a UN recognized state.

Azerbaijani troops enter Iran

160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.

Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil

China formally declares war on another country

China invades Taiwan

Any country leaves NATO

United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force

Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership

USA leaves NATO

India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor

Sudanese Civil War ends

Israel loses territory

A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy

Burj Khalifa destroyed via hostile action

The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States

Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic

United States formally declares war on another country

The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote

Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom

Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia

Argentina becomes a member of BRICS

United States formally declares war on Iran

Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State

Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII

Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Iranian troops enter Israel

Iran ceases to exist as a sovereign nation

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population

Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A country declares war on United States

United States Military personnel deaths greater than or equal to 15 in Israel borders during 2026

Ukraine ceases to exist as a sovereign state

Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus

Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede

Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member

Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)

Israel annexes 100% of Gaza

Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory

Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup

Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory

Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged

Israel annexes any portion of Iran

Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state

Any US territory comes under Canadian administration

Israel ceases to exist as a sovereign nation

Humans will extinct

Yahya Sinwar is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Other

Gabriel Attal

Jordan Bardella

David Lisnard

Dominique de Villepin

Gérald Darmanin

Olivier Faure

Marine Tondelier

Raphaël Glucksmann

Gérard Larcher

Christine Lagarde

Michel Barnier

Francois Ruffin

Emmanuel Macron

Xavier Bertrand

Laurent Wauquiez

Bruno Le Maire

Carole Delga

Bernard Cazeneuve

Marion Maréchal

Eric Zemmour

Ségolène Royal

Nicolas Sarkozy

François Hollande

Alain Coulombel

Cécile Duflot

Eva Joly

Christiane Taubira

François-Xavier Bellamy

Manon Aubry

Marie Toussaint

Nathalie Arthaud

Finn Jeltsch

Vitaly Janelt

Philipp Treu

Younes Ebnoutalib

Said El-Mala

Noah Atubolu

Yannik Engelhardt

Felix Keidel

Anton Kade

Tim Lemperle

Rocco Reitz

Karim Coulibaly

Loris Karius

Rafael Pinto Pedrosa

Grischa Prömel

Hany Mukhtar

Mio Backhaus

Tom Rothe

Elias Baum

Muhammad Damar

Kennet Eichhorn

Dzenan Pejcinovic

Merlin Röhl

Jeff Chabot

Arijon Ibrahimovic

Ansgar Knauff

Bright Arrey-Mbi

Eric Martel

Luca Netz

Benedict Hollerbach

Fabian Reese

Paul Nebel

Wael Mohya

Soufiane El-Faouzi

Ragnar Ache

Francis Onyeka

Nelson Weiper

Moritz Nicolas

Nicolò Tresoldi

NO

YES

YES

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

YES

YES

NO

NO

YES