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Nobuo Yamada, Singer of 'Pegasus Fantasy' From Saint Seiya, Dies at 61 After Seven-Year Kidney Cancer Battle

5 days ago

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Jan 9, 1:47 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM

4.7%chance

144167317

OptionVotes

YES

1904

1419

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.01%chance

8048793

OptionVotes

YES

5294

645

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Aug 16, 3:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

73%chance

12735506

OptionVotes

YES

1644

608

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

3.29%chance

10332752

OptionVotes

YES

10281

873

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.93%chance

10922033

OptionVotes

YES

980

968

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Jan 26, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.09%chance

11111401

OptionVotes

YES

1616

1558

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

May 30, 6:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

8%chance

4911094

OptionVotes

YES

940

508

If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.

Mar 15, 12:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.2%chance

86295

OptionVotes

YES

1500

847

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.9%chance

393975

OptionVotes

YES

1270

457

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

1695

870

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Dec 22, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.58%chance

331231

OptionVotes

YES

1162

1154

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.97%chance

23632

OptionVotes

YES

1134

776

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Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
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Nobuo Yamada, Singer of 'Pegasus Fantasy' From Saint Seiya, Dies at 61 After Seven-Year Kidney Cancer Battle
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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram