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Prediction markets for NoB
OptionVotes
1495
1442
Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)
Aug 16, 3:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM
73%chance
24584357
OptionVotes
1644
608
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.83%chance
8049114
OptionVotes
4973
675
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
3.29%chance
10332752
OptionVotes
10281
873
OptionVotes
980
968
OptionVotes
1616
1558
OptionVotes
944
462
If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.
Mar 15, 12:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
32.2%chance
86295
OptionVotes
1500
847
Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?
Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.9%chance
393975
OptionVotes
1270
457
OptionVotes
1695
870
OptionVotes
1162
1154
OptionVotes
1134
776