OptionProbability
George Hotz
Ilya Sutskever
Gwern Branwen
Ajeya Cotra
Jared Kaplan
Andrej Karpathy
Michael Levin
Amanda Askell
Chris Olah
Noam Brown
Joscha Bach
Tanner Greer
Greg Brockman (gdb)
Mira Murati
Geoffrey Hinton
Michael Pettis
Matthew Klein
Connor Leahy
Zvi Mowshowitz
Robert Caro
Nora Belrose
Helen Toner
Wang Huning
Spencer Greenberg
Janus @repligate
Barack Obama
Bill Gates
Elon Musk
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
100
98
95
73
70
58
51
50
43
38
36
35
32
31
30
29
28
20
13
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
124
80
