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Top stories

Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri Visits Nepal August 17-18, Meets Leaders, Extends PM Modi's Invitation to PM Oli

Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri Visits Nepal August 17-18, Meets Leaders, Extends PM Modi's Invitation to PM Oli

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Oli

Will my next girlfriend be an oly qualifier?

Jul 5, 5:57 PMJul 13, 6:59 AM

64.23%chance

4610630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

75

Oliver Tree is still alive

Jun 18, 11:03 PMJun 19, 11:02 PM

3.57%chance

75794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5196

192

Will Jon Stewart, Bill Maher, or John Oliver ever run for president?

Oct 12, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.82%chance

374051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3241

603

how many oly proposals does it take to get a gf

Jun 27, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:49 PM

162487

OptionProbability

5-9

50+

20-24

10-14

15-19

25-29

30-39

40-49

0-4

40

15

8

6

6

6

6

6

5

Will "Evil is bad, actually (Vassar and Olivia Scha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 21, 5:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.16%chance

6643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

935

If I investigate the Oliver Smith saga, will I think that Oliver was overall the more wronged party?

Feb 28, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.92%chance

6266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Oliver Tree cause of death

Jul 7, 5:15 AMJan 1, 6:13 AM

6174

OptionProbability

Accident

Other

Murder by Atlantic Records

82

12

7

Will tech bros turn the US into an open oligarchy / plutocracy?

Jan 19, 5:56 PMFeb 26, 10:59 PM

51.98%chance

4161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

Will the Olive Ridley Turtle, aka Pacific Ridley Turtle (Lepidochelys olivacea) become extinct in the current century?

May 6, 10:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.77%chance

4161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

658

439

Will Olivier Rioux play in a regular season NBA game by 2031?

Mar 23, 4:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

56.8%chance

5149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

81

61

Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde?

Jul 13, 1:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

20.82%chance

6118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Exit valuation of Olio Labs (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:35 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

471

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

72

10

10

8

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