OptionProbability
Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)
Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Chris Hemsworth (Thor)
Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)
Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)
Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)
Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)
Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)
Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)
Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)
Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)
Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)
Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)
Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)
David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)
Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)
Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)
Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)
Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)
Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)
Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)
Benedict Wong (Wong)
Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)
Vin Diesel (Groot)
Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)
Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki)
Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)
Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)
Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)
Karen Gillan (Nebula)
Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)
Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)
Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)
Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)
Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)
Pom Klementieff (Mantis)
Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)
Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)
Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)
Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)
Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)
Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)
Winston Duke (M'Baku)
Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)
Paul Bettany (Vision)
Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)
Danai Gurira (Okoye)
Sean Gunn (Kraglin)
Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)
Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)
Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)
Seth Green (Howard the Duck)
Joe Locke (Teen / Wiccan)
Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)
Dave Bautista (Drax)
Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)
Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)
Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)
Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Gemma Chan (Sersi)
Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)
Lia McHugh (Sprite)
Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)
Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)
Barry Keoghan (Druig)
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)
Ralph Ineson (Galactus)
Angelina Jolie (Thena)
May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)
Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)
Mahershala Ali (Blade)
Emilia Clarke (G'iah)
Wil Deusner (Skaar)
Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)
Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)
Brett Goldstein (Hercules)
Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)
Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)
Don Lee (Gilgamesh)
Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
89
89
89
89
88
88
86
84
84
84
83
83
82
82
81
81
81
79
78
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
73
72
72
72
70
70
69
69
69
68
66
66
65
65
62
59
52
50
50
48
46
45
41
41
41
37
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
32
31
27
24
24
23
17
10
10
8
5
OptionProbability
Is marketed as Episode X
Red lightsaber on screen
Will be announced before 2028
Blue lightsaber on screen
Green lightsaber on screen
The "Millennium Falcon" is on screen or mentioned
Trailer out before 2028 (teaser counts)
New droid companion
"Darth Sidious" or "Palpatine" is mentioned
A character is a Skywalker (by blood, name does not matter)
Is defined as part of a trilogy, before its premier date
Tie fighters on screen
"Darth Vader" is mentioned
A dead character has spoken lines
A dead person appears as something like a ~spirit
Oscar Isaac returns in his previous role
Strong, quasi-masculine-presenting female lead character
Scantily clad hypersexualized female characters
Movie contains reference to upcoming movie (e.g. "to be continued")
Digital version of dead actor plays a role
Any actor from the original trilogy plays the same role
Yellow lightsaber on screen
Scores ≥7.5 on IMDB exactly one month after release
There will be a new lightsaber based weapon form we haven’t seen before (like Kylo’s light saber hilt).
John Boyega returns in his previous role
Taxes are mentioned
Droid dances
Using the force to choke someone
Death Star mentioned
Flashback to a period clearly overlapping with movies I-IX
Blue milk on screen
Adam Driver returns in his previous role
Purple lightsaber on screen
Cantina band song remix
Sole director credit to Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy
Will NOT be announced before 2030
Main character is not human
Somehow, Palpatine returned
The word "rationalussy" is spoken
95
85
84
83
79
72
66
65
65
64
59
56
54
53
51
50
50
50
50
46
45
44
44
44
42
41
35
35
35
34
34
30
27
27
26
20
19
9
1

