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Prediction markets for Palantir
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19459921
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
64
50
30
25
21
20
18
11
11
11
11
10
5
5
5
4
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8616676
OptionProbability
16
16
15
14
11
10
7
6
4
1
1
Which will be the lowest range Palantir stock price will reach in the next 2 years?
Feb 4, 2:47 PMFeb 4, 9:59 PM
109501
OptionProbability
92
3
2
2
1
1
What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?
Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
346089
OptionProbability
27
24
23
21
20
20
20
17
15
14
10
10
7
6
If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?
Nov 3, 5:53 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM
115678
OptionProbability
35
10
9
7
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
The Great AI Correction: Which company will be the largest casualty by 2030? - Add your guess!
Sep 27, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
195247
OptionProbability
27
18
16
8
7
7
7
7
4
Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?
Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
113103
OptionProbability
100
100
45
45
45
29
17
17
15
15
12
8
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
43
21
15
12
3
2
2
1
1
During this decade (2020s) which stocks will outperform the S&P 500?📊 📈💰🤑💳
Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
5195
OptionProbability
87
85
80
69
69
69
69
50
50
50
50
Will Alex Karp, the CEO of Palantir Technologies, be arrested in 2026?
Jan 13, 3:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.16%chance
4135
OptionVotes
207
83
OptionProbability
24
17
12
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
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