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Top stories

Crypto Influencer Jailed for $3.5M Cryptojacking; Oregon Man Charged Over Rapper Bot’s 370,000 DDoS Attacks; $228M Restitution Ordered

Crypto Influencer Jailed for $3.5M Cryptojacking; Oregon Man Charged Over Rapper Bot’s 370,000 DDoS Attacks; $228M Restitution Ordered

Authors

19

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Parks

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17781

14066

Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Jan 8, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.48%chance

3728135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

20673

206

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.52%chance

132287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2226

883

How many inches of rain in central park in 2026?

Dec 1, 12:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4696

OptionProbability

Above 15

Above 25

Above 35

Above 45

Above 55

99

98

97

52

24

Will the equivalent of a Jurassic Park be built by 2050?

Aug 18, 4:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18%chance

22660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

968

Will Waymo be available in Berkeley before Menlo Park?

Feb 9, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.4%chance

10437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

21

Will there be a Mattel theme park in Kansas that's open before 2027?

Apr 16, 4:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.04%chance

5290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

37

South Park cancelled from Comedy Central before 2040

Mar 12, 7:57 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

88.47%chance

11235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

952

Will Razib Khan OR Cremieux be mentioned in a South park episode by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.06%chance

6220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will there be any new national parks by the end of 2040?

Jul 8, 10:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87.71%chance

4180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

267

37

Which Year Will Max Park Lose All His World Records?

Feb 16, 1:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

134

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2025

2026

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034+

59

59

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

Will there be a FPS/CTF/GTA game based on the terrain of any US, Canadian, NZ, AU, or European National Park by EOY2031?

Jun 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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