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Prediction markets for Polymarket
Polymarket legally accessible to US citizens before December 31, 2025
Nov 22, 4:05 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
87.49%chance
18386665
OptionVotes
26557
4302
OptionVotes
24861
7027
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?
Jan 22, 7:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
64.71%chance
4919934
OptionVotes
15440
3986
Is Polymarket more accurate than Manifold at p<0.05?
Apr 15, 9:42 AMSep 30, 9:39 AM
59.76%chance
14010234
OptionVotes
1219
821
OptionVotes
10833
9231
OptionVotes
16234
6160
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
Jul 30, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
39.38%chance
202368
OptionVotes
1241
806
Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?
Aug 16, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.36%chance
112034
OptionVotes
1120
893
What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?
Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM
2973
OptionProbability
34
18
13
13
11
11
US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
Jul 22, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
23.92%chance
4800
OptionVotes
1818
573
Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?
Jan 26, 4:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.91%chance
16598
OptionVotes
262
131
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