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Top stories

Trump Urges Fed Board to Seize Control if Powell Won’t Cut Rates

US Domestic Policy

Trump Urges Fed Board to Seize Control if Powell Won’t Cut Rates

Authors

57

1 day ago

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell, Cites Payroll Drop and 67% September Rate Cut Odds, Praises Tariff Revenue

US Domestic Policy

Prediction Markets

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell, Cites Payroll Drop and 67% September Rate Cut Odds, Praises Tariff Revenue

Authors

8

1 day ago

Fed’s Kugler Resigns, Giving Trump Early Chance to Shape Board

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Kugler Resigns, Giving Trump Early Chance to Shape Board

Authors

20

11 hours ago

US Gov Appointments

Trump Signals Powell Likely to Remain Fed Chair

Authors

4

22 hours ago

Trump Calls Fed Chair Powell ‘Terrible’, Says Appointment Was a Mistake

Authors

8

2 days ago

Powell Reaffirms Dollar Policy Rests With Treasury, Not the Fed

Authors

5

3 days ago

Powell Says Fed Ignores Government Borrowing Costs in Rate Decisions

Authors

5

3 days ago

US Domestic Policy

Powell Warns of Emerging Downside Risks in U.S. Labor Market

Authors

7

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Powell

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.23%chance

267530391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24428

6045

Trump tries to fire Powell before September 1?

Jul 13, 2:57 AMSep 1, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

7315528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4515

634

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

16.44%chance

4912724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2255

444

Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?

Apr 11, 12:45 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

10.92%chance

6012264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

603

Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Jul 3, 1:14 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

54.64%chance

352813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2419

812

Will Trump be able to force Jerome Powell to leave or resign from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 17, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.93%chance

291617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

2.15%chance

18914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

675

15

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

3.67%chance

16841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

695

31

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.64%chance

675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

76

Enoch Powell Stock

Feb 4, 10:38 AM

15

OptionProbability

YES

NO

55

45

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