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Prediction markets for Ray
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.54%chance
6311679
OptionVotes
1000
937
OptionProbability
542
160
OptionVotes
563
89
Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)
Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
82.44%chance
443737
OptionVotes
2178
414
Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?
Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM
13.5%chance
121072
OptionVotes
1154
931
OptionVotes
242
113
OptionVotes
1100
958
Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?
Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.06%chance
4181
OptionVotes
428
228
Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?
Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.65%chance
5141
OptionVotes
140
65
Will there be a consensus on the origin of cosmic rays with energies beyond the GZK limit by the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
34.85%chance
457
OptionVotes
235
140
OptionProbability
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?
Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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