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Top stories

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Raye

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.16%chance

65556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15218

6571

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

12.38%chance

131172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1254

916

Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?

Oct 14, 11:52 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

12.19%chance

11957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

110

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will Jonathan Ray's market on the causes of the increase of life expectancy resolve as intended?

Mar 18, 4:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.34%chance

5353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

81

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.46%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

230

Will another bird species be shown to recognize itself in the mirror (like manta rays) by 2030?

Sep 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.52%chance

590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

88

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will a connectome be made of any surviving manta ray species by 2035?

Aug 18, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.92%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

100

Will a gamma ray burst stronger than GRB 221009A be observed between 2024 and 2035?

Mar 31, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Does Ray Allen remember their encounter with Freddie deBoer?

Feb 7, 9:21 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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