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Top stories

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Raye

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

Mar 28, 2:54 AMApr 4, 10:59 AM

16.42%chance

644160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

563

89

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.08%chance

483902

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2224

404

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

13.5%chance

121072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

931

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.46%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

230

Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?

Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.65%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

65

In what year will Blu-ray be open sourced?

Aug 26, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046+

2026-2030

26

26

21

21

5

Ray Asian Boy Stock

Apr 11, 2:40 AM

4101

OptionProbability

NO

YES

160

158

Will there be a consensus on the origin of cosmic rays with energies beyond the GZK limit by the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.85%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

140

Will a gamma ray burst stronger than GRB 221009A be observed between 2024 and 2035?

Mar 31, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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