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Prediction markets for Raye
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.54%chance
6311679
OptionVotes
1000
937
OptionProbability
542
160
OptionVotes
537
94
Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?
Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM
13.5%chance
121072
OptionVotes
1154
931
OptionVotes
1100
958
Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?
Mar 22, 6:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.06%chance
3284
OptionVotes
356
93
Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?
Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.46%chance
5183
OptionVotes
424
230
Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?
Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.65%chance
5141
OptionVotes
140
65
OptionProbability
26
26
21
21
5
Will another bird species be shown to recognize itself in the mirror (like manta rays) by 2030?
Sep 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
70.52%chance
590
OptionVotes
146
88
Will a gamma ray burst stronger than GRB 221009A be observed between 2024 and 2035?
Mar 31, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
130
111
Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?
Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100