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Prediction markets for Ron Weasley
What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
OptionProbability
Ron Weasley is a redhead
Harry Potter is white
Snape is black
At least one named character from the book has their race changed
Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British
Fred and George are twins irl
A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)
McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)
Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode
Premieres in 2027
Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him
Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)
Malfoy has white blonde hair
There’s a scene set before Harry is born
JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer
The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured
Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes
Peeves is a reoccurring character
Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen
It's woke
An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2
The Quibbler is shown or mentioned
Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"
A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry
mandrake root on screen
Arthur Weasley is shown on screen
80% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented
Hermione is white
A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen
A house elf is shown on screen
Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot
Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name
Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen
An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show
It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year
At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped
Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits
Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode
Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode
It ends on a cliff hanger
The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying
An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen
Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1
The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.
Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s
Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings
set in the 2020s
90% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3
At least one of the actors is transgender
The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word
Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting
VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE
Dobby makes an appearance
Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)
We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts
Premieres in 2026
"Voldemort" has a silent "t"
Awkwafina is cast in the show
set in 2025
Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1
We get AGI before it premieres
Voldemort is a woman
Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability
Keir Starmer is in it
Features an explicitly transgender character
JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance
Zendaya is cast in the show
Hermione is black
Smartphone shown within Hogwarts
There will be seven CGI dwarves
Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity
Hermione is Indian
Gandalf is black
Yudkowsky makes an appearance
Fred and George have the same actor
HPMOR is referenced
Hagrid is black
One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.
Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender
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