OptionProbability
Jaxson Dart - Giants
Malik Willis - Dolphins
Tyler Shough - Saints
Geno Smith - Jets
Kyler Murray - Vikings
Tua Tagovailoa - Falcons
Kirk Cousins - Raiders
Deshaun Watson - Browns
Jacoby Brissett - Cardinals
Gardner Minshew - Cardinals
Shedeur Sanders - Browns
Justin Fields - Chiefs
Fernando Mendoza - Raiders
David Mills - Texans
Will Howard - Steelers
Brady Cook - Jets
Dillion Gabriel - Browns
Daniel Jones - Vikings
Mac Jones - Vikings
Ty Simpson - Browns
Trinidad Chambliss - Jets
Ty Simpson - Steelers
Malik Willis - Jets
Malik Willis - Browns
Kirk Cousins - Falcons
Kirk Cousins - Vikings
Ty Simpson - Jets
Trinidad Chambliss - Steelers
Trinidad Chambliss - Browns
Tyrod Taylor - Jets
Gardner Minshew - Chiefs
Malik Willis - Steelers
Malik Willis - Vikings
Kirk Cousins - Packers
Kirk Cousins - Steelers
Kirk Cousins - Cardinals
95
93
91
82
79
73
68
66
57
35
34
33
26
15
13
7
6
4
3
2
1
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
Justin Fields starts more games than Russell Wilson (for 24/25)
Jaylen Warren has more rushing attempts than Najee Harris
End the season with a losing record
5
0
Geno Smith
Other
Mac Jones
Kyler Murray
Russell Wilson
Any rookie other than Fernando Mendoza
Malik Willis
Fernando Mendoza
92
YES
NO
370
284