OptionProbability
Tyler Shough - Saints
Jaxson Dart - Giants
Malik Willis - Dolphins
Geno Smith - Jets
Jacoby Brissett - Cardinals
Tua Tagovailoa - Falcons
Kyler Murray - Vikings
Kirk Cousins - Raiders
Deshaun Watson - Browns
Shedeur Sanders - Browns
Fernando Mendoza - Raiders
Will Howard - Steelers
Gardner Minshew - Cardinals
Justin Fields - Chiefs
David Mills - Texans
Brady Cook - Jets
Dillion Gabriel - Browns
Mac Jones - Vikings
Ty Simpson - Steelers
Malik Willis - Jets
Malik Willis - Browns
Daniel Jones - Vikings
Kirk Cousins - Falcons
Kirk Cousins - Vikings
Ty Simpson - Jets
Trinidad Chambliss - Jets
Trinidad Chambliss - Steelers
Ty Simpson - Browns
Trinidad Chambliss - Browns
Tyrod Taylor - Jets
Gardner Minshew - Chiefs
Malik Willis - Steelers
Malik Willis - Vikings
Kirk Cousins - Packers
Kirk Cousins - Steelers
Kirk Cousins - Cardinals
95
93
87
83
82
66
36
17
13
11
10
8
5
4
2
1
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
Justin Fields starts more games than Russell Wilson (for 24/25)
Jaylen Warren has more rushing attempts than Najee Harris
End the season with a losing record
6
0
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
Mac Jones
Malik Willis
Russell Wilson
Fernando Mendoza
Any rookie other than Fernando Mendoza
Other
98
YES
NO
370
284