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Prediction markets for Salvador Pérez
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
100
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55
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50
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3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
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0
0
0
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0
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0
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0
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0
0
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0
Who will win Honduras' 2025 Presidential Election? / ¿Candidato ganador de la elección presidencial de Honduras?
OptionProbability
97
3
0
0
Which countries will Donald Trump visit as the 47th President of the United States?
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
93
90
74
71
71
70
67
66
61
54
38
37
36
36
31
31
27
27
27
25
25
23
23
22
20
19
19
18
17
16
14
13
8
8
7
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
OptionProbability
90
79
78
77
75
69
65
64
59
51
51
50
50
50
45
44
43
41
38
37
36
36
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31
29
29
28
26
23
23
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
15
15
13
10
10
10
10
8
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8
6
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5
5
5
5
5
5
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4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
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2
2
2
Which countries will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup from CONCACAF?
OptionProbability
100
100
100
36
21
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
OptionProbability
87
70
69
66
62
56
52
51
50
50
48
47
45
45
43
40
39
35
28
17
Which country will backslide into authoritarianism the most in the 2020s?
OptionProbability
38
18
10
9
9
6
3
3
3
OptionProbability
87
76
75
72
64
63
63
59
48
46
40
40
34
34
31
24
24
24
24
24
23
20
17
17
15
9
9
OptionProbability
80
75
68
65
64
60
56
54
50
44
39
38
35
32
19
Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)
OptionProbability
60
53
20
19
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
OptionProbability
38
16
11
9
7
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
68
11
11
11