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Prediction markets for Seles
OptionProbability
4726
3218
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.87%chance
563470419
OptionVotes
3104
2046
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
26.01%chance
14057416
OptionVotes
19481
6656
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
65.66%chance
26037353
OptionVotes
2178
2007
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Jun 30, 1:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.82%chance
19774
OptionVotes
1035
961
Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Jun 30, 1:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.75%chance
18579
OptionVotes
1054
749
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
22.28%chance
12483
OptionVotes
1289
894
Will the ending of one piece involve the strawhats (all or just a select few / just luffy) traveling to the past
Jun 10, 2:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.18%chance
6365
OptionVotes
1357
737
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46%chance
16284
OptionVotes
1036
965
Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?
Jun 30, 1:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29%chance
14249
OptionVotes
1037
971
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Jun 23, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
68%chance
11221
OptionVotes
1038
972
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Jun 23, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
77.95%chance
10134
OptionVotes
1090
953