Seles News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Seles
OptionProbability
4726
3218
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
46%chance
547459947
OptionVotes
2969
2196
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
43.18%chance
13646665
OptionVotes
13320
9842
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
65.4%chance
25635779
OptionVotes
2187
1991
Will the ending of one piece involve the strawhats (all or just a select few / just luffy) traveling to the past
Jun 10, 2:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.18%chance
6365
OptionVotes
1357
737
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46%chance
16284
OptionVotes
1036
965
Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?
Jun 30, 1:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29%chance
14249
OptionVotes
1037
971
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Jun 23, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
68%chance
11221
OptionVotes
1038
972
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
28%chance
10201
OptionVotes
1039
977
Voice activated text selection supported by AI agent on Android by mid-2026
Oct 14, 3:18 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
53%chance
3151
OptionVotes
1062
942
Will my H-1B registration be selected in the FY2027 lottery?
Mar 18, 7:24 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
71.17%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
864
Will "The persona selection model" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 24, 7:59 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000