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Prediction markets for Serena
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
7513519
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
97
86
84
81
78
78
75
74
73
69
68
65
65
65
65
63
62
62
61
60
60
60
60
59
59
55
54
54
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
46
46
45
44
44
43
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
41
41
41
39
39
39
39
36
36
35
35
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
31
31
31
30
30
28
28
23
23
22
22
21
18
17
14
14
9
8
7
5
5
OptionProbability
96
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
80
80
80
79
77
77
76
74
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
69
69
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
67
66
63
62
62
61
59
59
58
57
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
49
48
45
43
42
41
39
38
37
36
36
35
33
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
24
21
21
18
16
16
14
13
11
10
10
9
8
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
Will Serena Ge (https://serenage.super.site/) become a Thiel Fellow?
Jun 11, 11:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
58.66%chance
489
OptionVotes
119
84
Will Serena Ge join forces with Matthew Barnett, Tamay, and Mechanize?
Jun 11, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:57 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100