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Prediction markets for Solomon Peña
Which returning Survivor cast members will compete in Survivor Season 50?
May 23, 1:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
2138340
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
4816382
OptionProbability
66
27
26
22
20
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
16
12
3
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
89
52
50
29
23
15
15
14
14
14
14
9
9
9
8
7
6
5
OptionProbability
80
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which countries will graduate from least developed country (LDC) status before 2030?
May 28, 7:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
193345
OptionProbability
86
82
77
52
52
47
44
42
41
40
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
Jun 25, 6:23 PMDec 3, 4:59 AM
302317
OptionProbability
73
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
45
35
35
27
21
9
OptionProbability
59
23
6
5
4
3
OptionVotes
181
55
Which will be the next country to renounce the British Royal Family and become a Republic?
Oct 26, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8389
OptionProbability
43
29
13
6
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
445
OptionProbability
59
59
59
59
51
50
50
50
50
41
Is Conjecture 8.4 of "Proximity Gaps for Reed–Solomon Codes" true?
May 29, 6:49 PMJul 20, 4:59 AM
51%chance
37
OptionVotes
71
69
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