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Prediction markets for Spencer Cox
Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
OptionProbability
35
18
18
15
13
12
12
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
81
79
79
78
77
75
73
72
66
65
65
64
63
60
59
57
57
57
52
51
49
47
44
42
42
41
40
40
39
37
37
36
34
33
31
30
29
27
27
25
24
23
22
22
21
20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
28
20
14
10
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Who will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
OptionProbability
78
78
75
50
50
48
45
43
42
41
41
37
34
32
30
28
28
27
26
24
24
21
19
18
18
18
17
16
15
15
14
14
14
9
8
7
6
5
5
4
4
3
OptionProbability
57
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
83
82
80
75
75
75
70
69
67
66
66
60
54
53
52
51
49
41
33
29
28
26
25
24
24
23
23
21
20
20
17
14
13
13
13
13
13
11
10
5
5
4
1
1
Who will run for U.S. president before 2060 [Independent Resolution] [Free Response]
OptionProbability
100
100
91
86
82
80
65
50
50
50
41
23
18
9
6
6
6
3
1
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
OptionVotes
2141
900
OptionProbability
22
20
15
7
7
6
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?
OptionProbability
90
79
57
36
25
12
11
10
8
7
5