Stamp News

Adolf Hitler

George Santos

Benito Mussolini

Vladimir Putin

Joseph Stalin

Kanye West

Kim Jong-un

Derek Chauvin

Xi Jinping

Jeffrey Epstein

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Dan Schneider

David Duke

Tucker Carlson

Mao Zedong

Viktor Orbán

Genghis Khan

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

Thanos

Emperor Palpatine from Star Wars

Dolores Umbridge

Nero (Roman emperor)

Bill Cipher

Curtis Yarvin

Nick Land

Shaun King

Caligula

King Leopold II of Belgium

Negan Smith

Alex Jones

Augusto Pinochet

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

A paperclip-maximizing AGI

Lauren Boebert

Pennywise, the clown from “It”

Vlad the Impaler

Saddam Hussein

Commodus

Cthulhu

Hirohito

Lucifer, the King of Hell / Satan

Joffrey Baratheon

Sauron

Hong Xiuquan

SCP-682

Uday Hussein

Nicolas Maduro

Jabba the Hutt

Kyle Rittenhouse

Lee Harvey Oswald

Robert Edward Lee

Pol Pot

The Master / Harry Saxon (from Doctor Who)

Anders Breivik

Voldemort

Chris Benoit

Rush Limbaugh

Gannondorf

Bobby Fischer

Charles Manson

The Mad King Aerys Targaryen II

Jair Bolsonaro

Drake

Hugo Chavez

Chris Chan

Phillipe Petain

A random convicted murderer

A large asteroid, plummeting towards Earth's gravity well

Andrew Tate

Dylan Klebold

A severe case of ulcerative colitis

A time traveler who can only go back in time to kill Hitler if he isn't busy being president

Donald Trump

Kang and/or Kodos

Satan

A random citizen with diagnosed paranoid schizophrenia and a dependence on stimulants

Albert Speer

Ibrahim abu Bakr Awad Ibrahim Ali al-Badri al-Baghdadi

Steve Bannon

Josh Hawley

Cersei Lannister

A randomly-chosen prisoner in the US carceral system, sentenced for life

Ron Unz

Ivan the terrible

Otto Skorzeny

Karl Donitz

Trump's attempted assassin

Christoper Rufo

John Hinckley Jr.

The Loc-Nar

The Grim Reaper

Charles "Chuck" Johnson

Pat Buchanan

A random citizen but he thinks inflation increasing by 200% in a year would be "really cool"

Whatifalthist

Franz von Papen

A virulently antisemitic but otherwise well-meaning person

Erich von Manstein

Nikita Khrushchev

Judas Iscariot

Lyndon LaRouche

Joseph McCarthy

The CEO of MALIBAL

Erich Ludendorff

Mark Foley

Andronikos II Palaiologos

Liu Shan

Roko

Alana "Honey Boo Boo" Thompson

Godzilla

Hasan Piker / Hasanabi

Unabomber

Jozef Tiso

Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho

Thomas Midgley Jr.

Alfred Packer

Brent Dill

Steve Sailer

Erwin Rommel

Gongsun Yuan

Hasso von Manteuffel

King John

EMIL OLE WILLIAM KIRKEGAARD

qin shi huang

Shang Yang

Richard Lynn

James Longstreet

A cockroach

Niko Bellic

Commodus

Tito

an asi agent from openai

The exhumed corpse of George Washington (rather than alive during his prime), with a sign around his neck at all times reading 'slave owner' in red lettering

Vriska Serket

Miklos Horthy

Franz Joseph 1

WILLY ON WHEELS

J. Philippe Rushton

Lu Bu

Yuan Shikai

Yuan Shu

Juan Peron

Connor Duffy

Faust

Paul Von Hindenburg

Charles XII of Sweden

Zhou Enlai

Samuel Alito

@StochasticParrot (Stochastic Cockatoo)

Marlo Stanfield (The Wire)

Darkstalker (Wings of Fire)

Hunter Biden's laptop

Giego Caleiro

Fredrick Robert Brennan

Mehmed V

Jeremy Nixon

Charles Murray

Paul Ehrlich

Michael de Santa

anatoly karlin

Jonathan Anomaly

Alexey Guzey

Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope (as co-presidents)

Yuan Shao

Jar Jar Binks

JD Vance

Karl Marx

Peter Thiel

Liang Mong-song

Lucy Guo

A randomly chosen child (<13) who does not speak English and who has never been to North or Central America

Stephen Hsu

James Buchanan

Klaus Schwab

Sean Hannity

Rochelle Shen

Black Hat (XKCD)

King George III of England

Ada Nguyen

James Dewey Watson

Laura Gao

Claire Wang

@ButtocksCocktoasten

Jiang Zemin

Any child of Trump (randomly selected)

Salvador Allende

Rorschach

Wario

A literal ham sandwich

goth600

Petyr Baelish / Littlefinger

Elagabalus

Biden, but as a worm (i.e., Would you still vote for Biden if he was a worm?)

A well meaning person with severe short term memory issues causing them to wake up every day not realizing that they are the President

Light Yagami

Neville Chamberlain

Rod Blagojevich

Brian Chau (@psychosort)

Emperor Ling of Han

Chris Brown

Richard Watterson (from Gumball)

Tronald Dump, his counterpart in the Mirror Universe

Hans Niemann

Silvio Berlusconi

Timothy Leary

John Edwards

George Floyd

Lex Luthor

Hunter Biden

Razib Khan

Kim Dotcom

Waluigi

Bad Bunny

Deng Xiaoping

Empress Dowager Cixi

A prostitute from the alleged Trump pee tape

A randomly picked Muslim citizen of the US

Brian Tomasik

Your mom

Eren Yeager

THEAMAZINGATHEIST

Richard Hanania

A random citizen of slightly below average intelligence who drinks 1 beer a day and has no high school diploma

Chuck Norris

You (Are you really willing to take on the responsibilities of the presidency yourself to avoid giving them to Trump?)

An automated veto stamp (vetoes everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)

Ray Shaun Elussy

Lucille Bluth

Michael Vassar

Kristi Noem's dog

Moses (Bible)

Yourself right now

Elizabeth Holmes

Eminem

Stan Smith

A random citizen of average intelligence who drinks three beers a day and has a highschool diploma

Justin Trudeau

Futarchy (Manifold users)

Nicky Case

Santa Claus

Robespierre

Yourself from 15 years ago

Greta Thunberg

Their child, who has become a juggalo, a furry, and a brony

@strutheo :)

Bill Gates

Gavin Newsom

Hillary Clinton

Walter White

Chat GPT

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Destiny

George Soros

Bill Cosby

Ellen DeGeneres

Harvey Weinstein

Kamala Harris

Ron DeSantis

A can of beans

George W. Bush

Richard Nixon

Jeremy Corbyn

Joe Biden

Julius Caesar

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Benjamin Netanyahu

Yasser Arafat

Shinzo Abe

Gus Fring

Frank Underwood

Mr Burns

Mr Krabs

Peter Griffin

Homer Simpson

Hank Hill

Cruella De Vil

Senator Armstrong (Metal Gear Rising)

Ibram X. Kendi

Rachel Dolezal

Nayib Bukele

Ayn Rand

Barack Obama

Young Sheldon

Tony Soprano

Patrick Bateman (American Psycho)

Dr Robotnik / Eggman

Vivek Ramaswamy

Taylor Swift

Joe Rogan

Javier Milei

Emmanuel Macron

Doctor Manhattan

Bill Clinton

Donkey Kong

Rudy Giuliani

An autopen (signs everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)

Sam Bankman-Fried

Cedric the Entertainer

Glenn Quagmire

Scott Adams (Dilbert cartoonist)

Gollum/Smeagol

Matthew Yglesias

Vaush

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas

Donald Trump Jr

Napoleon Bonaparte

Jordan Peterson

Scar (lion king)

Margaret Thatcher

Andrew Johnson

Bill Ackman

Bernie Madoff

Jussie Smollet

Avon Barksdale

Yann Lecun

The nominee of the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party

Elon Musk

Paul Atreides

Cenk Uygur

Georgia Meloni

Boris Johnson

Trump from the 80s-90s

Shirley Temple

Mark Rutte

Michael Jackson

James (manifold)

Austin (manifold)

George Washington

Zaphod Beeblebrox

Mr Garrison (South Park)

Lee Pace

Muhammad the prophet

Jose Luis Ricon

BasedBeffJezos

Mike Pence

Nate Silver

Shai-Hulud (sandworms from Dune)

Confucius

hari seldon

Teddy Roosevelt

Franklin Delano Roosevelt

Angela Merkel

Jacinda Ardern

shaq

elvis

random manifold user

abe lincoln

bruce springsteen

billy joel

Rishi Sunak

Scott Alexander's Presidential Platform https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-presidential-platform

buddha

satoshi nakamoto

pass 500 or more executive orders

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

Stays alive

have a journalist arrested

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

resume buying oil from Russia

Revoke ten or more citizenships

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Dep

Causes Tina Peters' early release

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

put his name on a ship in the navy

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

ten or more protestors killed during term

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

new blockade of a country

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

Announce he’s running for a third term

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

File lawsuit against a congressperson

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

call someone retarded through text or speech

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

Causes derek chauvin's early release

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

stops all sanctions on Russia

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

Add a citizenship question to the census

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Pardon a convicted pedophile

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

Withdraw from NATO

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

host putin at mar a lago

Call for the end of gay marriage

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

Pardon p diddy

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

expand the borders of the usa

add a new state

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

take control of a part of greenland

repeal Obamacare

ends black history month

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

all time high unemployment reached

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

make statements that are negative about labubu

orders arrests of any Biden family member

ban trans people from holding federal offices

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

repeal an amendment

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

Raise the retirement age for social security

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

take control of a part of ukraine

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

pardon george santos

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

Salute Putin

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

stop California from hosting the Olympics

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

pardon derek chauvin

Implement a federal abortion ban

add a new federal holiday in his honor

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

force a former president to testify before Congress

Implement a federal age of consent

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

Annex any part of Mexico

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

change the borders of a state

Call for the end of the House of Reps

Call for the end of the Senate

fauci in jail at least one week

Replace his Vice President

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

declares a white history month

Call for the end of interracial marriage

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

bans anime

Sexism and racism, among other forms of prejudice, are responsible for worse health outcomes, and it’s not overly dramatic for people to treat those issues as public health/safety concerns.

Prediction markets are good

[*] ...and things will improve in the future

Tenet (Christopher Nolan film) is underrated

Authoritarian populism is bad actually

We should be doing much more to pursue human genetic engineering to prevent diseases and aging.

Scientific racism is bad, actually. (also it's not scientific)

Most organized religion are false

The Fermi paradox isn't a paradox, and the solution is obviously just that intelligent life is rare.

Prolonged school closures because of COVID were socially devastating.

The way quantum mechanics is explained to the lay public is very misleading.

Nuclear power is by far the best solution to climate change. [N]

Pineapple pizza tastes good

The Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics

Humans have a responsibility to figure out what if anything we can do about wildlife suffering.

Physician-assisted suicide should be legal in most countries

First-past-the-post electoral systems are not merely flawed but outright less democratic than proportional or preferential alternatives

Liberal-democracy is good actually

Peeing in the shower is good and everyone should do it

It would actually be a good thing if automation eliminated all jobs.

We need a bigger welfare state than we have now.

Many amphetamines and psychedelics have tremendous therapeutic value when guided by an established practitioner.

The proliferation of microplastics will be viewed as more harmful to the environment than burning fossil fuels, in the long term

American agents are in the highest positions in government for more than half the world.

Free will doesn't require the ability to do otherwise.

We should give every American food stamps, in a fixed dollar amount, with no means testing or work requirements or disqualification for criminal convictions.

Metaculus will take over Manifold in more serious topics, and Manifold will be known as the "unserious" prediction market site

Given what we know about the social and health effects of being fired, even if abolishing at will employment has efficiency costs it is likely worth it.

The overall state of the world is pretty good... [*]

Dialetheism (the claim that some propositions are both true and false) is itself both true and false.

Dreams analysis is a legitimate means of gaining personal insight.

Mobile UX will be a key explaining factor in explaining the stories of Manifold and Metaculus.

If a developed nation moves from democratic to authoritarian government today, it should be expected to end up poorer, weaker, sicker, and stupider.

Factory farming is horrific but it is not wrong to eat meat.

California is wildly overrated.

The United States doesn't need a strong third party.

Being a billionaire is morally wrong.

Racial Colorblindness is the only way to defeat racism

People will look back on using animal products as a moral disgrace on the level of chattel slavery.

There's a reasonable chance of a militant green/communist movement that gains popular support in the coming decade.

Eating meat is morally wrong in most cases.

Political libertarianism

You should bet NO on this option

The Windows kernel is better than Linux; it’s just all the bloat piled on top that makes it worse

[N], and to the extent climate activists are promoting other kinds of solutions, they are actively making the situation worse by diverting attention and resources from nuclear power.

White people are the least racist of any racial group

Technology is not making our lives easier or more fulfilling.

COVID lockdowns didn’t save many lives; in fact they may have caused net increases in global deaths and life years lost.

Light mode is unironically better than Dark mode for most websites

God is evil

A sandwich is a type of hot dog

Some people have genuine psychic capabilities

Astrology is a legitimate means of gaining personal insight.

Climate change is significantly more concerning than AI development.

Mereological nihilism (composite objects don't exist)

It's acceptable for our systems of punishment to be retributive in part

AI will not be as capable as humans this century, and will certainly not give us genuine existential concerns

China not having real democracy does more good than harm

Dentistry is mostly wasted effort.

Moral Hazard isn’t real, and all the purported instances of it can be chalked up to coincidence or confounding variables

Reincarnation is a real phenomenon

Governments should not support parents for having children that they cannot take care of

Mass surveillance (security cameras everywhere) has more positives than negatives

Donald Trump would have been a better president than Joe Biden

SBF didn't intentionally commit fraud

Future generations will say that on balance the world reacted appropriately after learning that fossil fuels cause climate change. That the balance between addressing the problem and slowing economies was just about right.

Humans don't have free will.

The next American moon landing will be faked

AI art is better than human art

Communism just wasn't implemented well, next time it will work

The human race should voluntarily choose to go extinct via nonviolent means (antinatalism).

The first American moon landing was faked

Souls/spirits are real and can appear to the living sometimes

LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print will replicate before 2025

YES

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES

NO

YES

YES