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Prediction markets for Støre
Will Google integrate Bitcoin Lightning payments in the Play Store by the end of 2025?
May 17, 12:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
1.71%chance
3815234
OptionVotes
7586
132
By 2030, Humanoid Robots can Fold laundry as well and as fast as the median human clothing store employee.
Jan 5, 11:09 AMJan 12, 8:09 AM
67.57%chance
748052
OptionVotes
1146
933
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30%chance
10916
OptionVotes
1528
655
Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?
Mar 20, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.82%chance
11682
OptionVotes
1566
812
Will I be asked to tip at a grocery store before 2026?
Nov 12, 10:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
31.75%chance
16659
OptionVotes
1257
850
Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?
Mar 24, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.77%chance
16500
OptionVotes
1252
898
Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?
Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
49.04%chance
18486
OptionVotes
1027
963
Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?
Dec 22, 2:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
72%chance
15378
OptionVotes
1104
945
If LMs store info as features in superposition, are there >300K features in GPT-2 small L7? (see desc)
May 29, 6:05 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM
59.25%chance
13286
OptionVotes
1009
990
Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?
Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.74%chance
3150
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will WeChat be available in the Google play store continuously through mid 2028?
Jan 2, 8:11 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
OptionProbability
50