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Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre Visits Kyiv, Pledges $8.5 Billion Military and Civilian Aid for Ukraine in 2026

5 months ago

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMFeb 20, 7:40 PM

8433674

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Crane Hexes - by Pat Scott

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

By 2030, Humanoid Robots can Fold laundry as well and as fast as the median human clothing store employee.

Jan 5, 11:09 AMJan 12, 8:09 AM

67.57%chance

748052

OptionVotes

YES

1146

933

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

1528

655

Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?

Dec 22, 2:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.87%chance

17828

OptionVotes

YES

1288

559

Will I be asked to tip at a grocery store before 2026?

Nov 12, 10:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.87%chance

17709

OptionVotes

YES

1157

900

Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?

Mar 20, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.82%chance

11682

OptionVotes

YES

1566

812

Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?

Mar 24, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.27%chance

18640

OptionVotes

YES

1352

876

Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?

Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM

69.04%chance

6610

OptionVotes

YES

1493

670

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

18486

OptionVotes

YES

1027

963

If LMs store info as features in superposition, are there >300K features in GPT-2 small L7? (see desc)

May 29, 6:05 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM

59.25%chance

13286

OptionVotes

YES

1009

990

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

Will WeChat be available in the Google play store continuously through mid 2028?

Jan 2, 8:11 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Norway
Ukraine
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Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre Visits Kyiv, Pledges $8.5 Billion Military and Civilian Aid for Ukraine in 2026
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5 months ago

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MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

By 2030, Humanoid Robots can Fold laundry as well and as fast as the median human clothing store employee.

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?

Will I be asked to tip at a grocery store before 2026?

Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?

Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?

Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

If LMs store info as features in superposition, are there >300K features in GPT-2 small L7? (see desc)

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Will WeChat be available in the Google play store continuously through mid 2028?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram