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Prediction markets for Støre
MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?
Oct 22, 8:28 PMDec 4, 7:40 PM
10356200
OptionProbability
100
100
74
72
64
64
43
31
21
11
7
By 2030, Humanoid Robots can Fold laundry as well and as fast as the median human clothing store employee.
Jan 5, 11:09 AMJan 12, 8:09 AM
70.14%chance
768157
OptionVotes
1235
893
Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?
Dec 22, 2:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
3.68%chance
193687
OptionVotes
3519
61
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.46%chance
191770
OptionVotes
2102
476
Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?
Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.76%chance
131705
OptionVotes
1327
754
Will WeChat be available in the Google play store continuously through mid 2028?
Jan 2, 8:11 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
81.52%chance
21100
OptionVotes
2100
476
Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
54.29%chance
9950
OptionVotes
1090
918
Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?
Mar 20, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.82%chance
11682
OptionVotes
1566
812
Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?
Mar 24, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.27%chance
18640
OptionVotes
1352
876
Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?
Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
49.04%chance
18486
OptionVotes
1027
963
If LMs store info as features in superposition, are there >300K features in GPT-2 small L7? (see desc)
May 29, 6:05 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM
59.25%chance
13286
OptionVotes
1009
990
Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?
Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.42%chance
4200
OptionVotes
1096
912