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Prediction markets for Su
Will X (fka Twitter) be sued by the US government for refusing to remove content by the end of 2025?
Aug 31, 3:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
22.05%chance
83478
OptionVotes
1880
532
Will OpenAI be sued (with standing) for using transcribed YouTube videos for GPT before 2026?
Apr 15, 11:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.29%chance
192762
OptionVotes
2531
650
Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?
Apr 10, 6:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.65%chance
231334
OptionVotes
1130
760
Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
Dec 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
52.92%chance
181002
OptionVotes
1269
463
Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm and found liable for damage caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2029?
Apr 13, 4:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.3%chance
17991
OptionVotes
1207
923
OptionVotes
1027
970
Will a company get sued for giving a human a captcha they can't solve?
Mar 16, 8:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.35%chance
16866
OptionVotes
1349
864
Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?
Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM
55.24%chance
4400
OptionVotes
1111
900
Which country will be the first confirmed export customer of the Russian Su-57 Felon fifth-generation fighter jet?
Nov 20, 7:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
3185
OptionProbability
28
21
15
14
6
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
Will Tainui be successful suing the government for their Maori language policy?
Jan 12, 7:19 PMOct 20, 6:59 AM
65.62%chance
394
OptionVotes
69
36
OptionVotes
175
57
Will the Su-75 have entered service in Russia by the end of 2033?
Jun 6, 9:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
35.02%chance
321
OptionVotes
91
55
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