OptionProbability
Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX
Tarek Mansour, Kalshi
Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi
Shayne Coplan, Polymarket
Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC
Terry Duffy, CME
91
80
46
27
12
10
OptionVotes
YES
NO
300
33
Tarek Mansour
Shayne Coplan
Luana Lopes Lara
The CEO of an exchange that captures >25% of the market share that is NOT Polymarket or Kalshi, according to the Dune dashboard.
66
45
34
13
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